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Track Group (Track Group) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 0.00% (As of Dec. 2023)


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What is Track Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Track Group's forward rate of return for was 0.00%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Track Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

TRCK' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -63.51   Med: -20.67   Max: 43.24
Current: 43.24

During the past 13 years, Track Group's highest Forward Rate of Return was 43.24. The lowest was -63.51. And the median was -20.67.

TRCK's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
97.59% of 1616 companies
in the Hardware industry
Industry Median: 8.785 vs TRCK: 43.24

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Track Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Track Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Track Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Track Group Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - 23.76 -

Track Group Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Track Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Scientific & Technical Instruments subindustry, Track Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Track Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Track Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Track Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Track Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Track Group's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2023 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.07580952/0.232+0.2
=52.68 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Track Group  (OTCPK:TRCK) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Track Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Track Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Track Group (Track Group) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » Track Group Inc (OTCPK:TRCK) » Definitions » Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
200 E. 5th Avenue, Suite 100, Naperville, IL, USA, 60563
Track Group Inc designs, manufactures, and markets location-tracking devices and develops and sells a variety of related software, services, accessories, networking solutions, and monitoring applications. Its products and services include ReliAlert XC4, TrackerPAL, TrackerPAL Mobile, a portfolio of software applications including predictive analytics, a device-agnostic operating system, and a variety of accessories, services, and support offerings. The company sells products across the world through its direct sales team and resellers. It sells to government customers on federal, state, and local levels in the United States and to members of the Ministry of Justice internationally. Geographically, it derives a majority of its revenue from the United States.
Executives
Conrent Invest S.a. 10 percent owner 19 RUE DE BITBOURG, LUXEMBOURG N4 L-1273
Matthew J. Swando officer: CHIEF REVENUE OFFICER C/O TRACK GROUP, INC., 200 E 5TH AVE, SUITE 100, NAPERVILLE IL 60563
Karim Sehnaoui director 57 ROUTE DE CHENE, GENEVA V8 1208
Derek Cassell officer: Chief Executive Officer 200 E. 5TH AVE., SUITE 100, NAPERVILLE IL 60563
Van Daele Dirk Karel director BERGSTRASSE 6, HORGEN V8 CH8810
Peter K Poli officer: CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER 1215 W. LAKEVIEW COURT, ROMEOVILLE IL 60446
Ray O Johnson director C/O RIGETTI & CO., INC., 775 HEINZ AVENUE, BERKELEY CA 94710
Charles Eric Rosenblum director 405 SOUTH MAIN STREET, SUITE 700, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84111
Karen M Macleod director C/O TRACK GROUP, INC., 200 E 5TH AVENUE STE 100, NAPERVILLE IL 60563
John R Merrill officer: Chief Financial Officer 4222 HILLTOP DRIVE, PARK CITY UT 84098
Sapinda Asia Ltd 10 percent owner 8TH FLOOR, HANG SENG BANK BUILDING, 200 HENNESSEY ROAD, WANCHAI, HONG KONG K3 00000
Safety Invest S.a. 10 percent owner 19 RUE DE BITBOURG, LUXEMBOURG N4 L-1273
Winfried Kunz director AM GASTEIG 9, TRAUBING 2M 82327
Guy Dubois director, 10 percent owner C/O POLLEKE III, SEESTRASSE 227, KILCHBERG V8 CH8802
Lars Windhorst 10 percent owner C/O SAPINDA ASIA LTD, RMS 803-4, 8TH FLR, HANG SENG WANCHAI BLDG, 200 HENNESY ROAD, WANCHAI K3 999077

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