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SMG (The Scotts Miracle Gro Co) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 0.00% (As of Jun. 2024)


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What is The Scotts Miracle Gro Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. The Scotts Miracle Gro Co's forward rate of return for was 0.00%.

The historical rank and industry rank for The Scotts Miracle Gro Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

SMG' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -0.09   Med: 12.8   Max: 21.88
Current: 20.91

During the past 13 years, The Scotts Miracle Gro Co's highest Forward Rate of Return was 21.88. The lowest was -0.09. And the median was 12.80.

SMG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
76.11% of 180 companies
in the Agriculture industry
Industry Median: 12.235 vs SMG: 20.91

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


The Scotts Miracle Gro Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for The Scotts Miracle Gro Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

The Scotts Miracle Gro Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

The Scotts Miracle Gro Co Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 15.74 16.79 21.54 - -

The Scotts Miracle Gro Co Quarterly Data
Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of The Scotts Miracle Gro Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Agricultural Inputs subindustry, The Scotts Miracle Gro Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Scotts Miracle Gro Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Agriculture Industry

For the Agriculture industry and Basic Materials sector, The Scotts Miracle Gro Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Scotts Miracle Gro Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



The Scotts Miracle Gro Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

The Scotts Miracle Gro Co's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2024 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=1.23085714/65.06+0.1952
=21.41 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


The Scotts Miracle Gro Co  (NYSE:SMG) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


The Scotts Miracle Gro Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of The Scotts Miracle Gro Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


The Scotts Miracle Gro Co Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
14111 Scottslawn Road, Marysville, OH, USA, 43041
Scotts Miracle-Gro is the largest purveyor of home lawn and gardening products in the us. The business consists of three reporting segments: us consumer, Hawthorne, and other. The us consumer segment consists of a broad range of lawncare products, including grass seed, fertilizer, and lawn-related weed, animal, and disease control. us consumer typically generates the vast majority of companywide revenue and profits. Hawthorne sells indoor gardening and hydroponic equipment, particularly to the cannabis growing industry, while the other segment primarily consists of lawn and gardening products sold in Canada. Its lawncare and gardening products are well-recognized brands in the us, including Scotts, Miracle-Gro, Roundup, Ortho, and Tomcat.
Executives
Nathan Eric Baxter 10 percent owner C/O HAGEDORN PARTNERSHIP, L.P., 800 PORT WASHINGTON BOULEVARD, PORT WASHINGTON NY 11050
Hagedorn Partnerships L P 10 percent owner SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO PRODUCTS INC, 800 PORT WASHINGTON BLVD, PORT WASHINGTON NY 11050
Stephen L Johnson director 14111 SCOTTSLAWN ROAD, MARYSVILLE OH 43041
Nancy G. Mistretta director 14111 SCOTTSLAWN ROAD, MARYSVILLE OH 43041
Kelly Thomas N Jr director C/O THE SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO COMPANY, 14111 SCOTTSLAWN ROAD, MARYSVILLE OH 43041
James Hagedorn director, 10 percent owner, officer: President and CEO C/O SCOTTS CO, 14111 SCOTTSLAWN ROAD, MARYSVILLE OH 43041
Julie Demuesy officer: SVP, CHIEF HUMAN RESOURCES 14111 SCOTTSLAWN RD, MARYSVILLE OH 43041
Mark D Kingdon director 14111 SCOTTSLAWN RD, MARYSVILLE OH 43041
Edith Aviles director 14111 SCOTTSLAWN ROAD, MARYSVILLE OH 43041
Dimiter Todorov officer: EVP, GC & CORPORATE SECRETARY 14111 SCOTTSLAWN RD, MARYSVILLE OH 43041
Matthew E Garth officer: EVP & CFO 622 THIRD AVENUE, 38TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
David C Evans officer: EVP and CFO C/O THE SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO COMPANY, 14111 SCOTTSLAWN ROAD, MARYSVILLE OH 43041
Peter E Shumlin director 14111 SCOTTSLAWN ROAD, MARYSVILLE OH 43041
Brian E Sandoval director 14111 SCOTTSLAWN ROAD, MARYSVILLE OH 43041
James D King officer: EVP and CCO 14111 SCOTTSLAWN RD, MARYSVILLE OH 43041