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MS (Morgan Stanley) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 2.53% (As of Jun. 2024)


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What is Morgan Stanley Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Morgan Stanley's forward rate of return for was 2.53%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Morgan Stanley's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

MS' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.49   Med: 13.57   Max: 42.03
Current: 2.84

During the past 13 years, Morgan Stanley's highest Forward Rate of Return was 42.03. The lowest was 2.49. And the median was 13.57.

MS's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
65.57% of 488 companies
in the Capital Markets industry
Industry Median: 11.765 vs MS: 2.84

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Morgan Stanley Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Morgan Stanley's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Morgan Stanley Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Morgan Stanley Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 13.37 11.28 13.84 13.83 4.18

Morgan Stanley Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.32 4.18 4.88 2.53 -

Competitive Comparison of Morgan Stanley's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Capital Markets subindustry, Morgan Stanley's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Morgan Stanley's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Morgan Stanley's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Morgan Stanley's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Morgan Stanley Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Morgan Stanley's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2024 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year Book Value Growth Rate
=-1.71695238/104.24+0.043
=2.65 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Morgan Stanley  (NYSE:MS) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Morgan Stanley Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Morgan Stanley's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Morgan Stanley Business Description

Industry
Address
1585 Broadway, New York, NY, USA, 10036
Morgan Stanley is a global investment bank whose history, through its legacy firms, can be traced back to 1924. The company has institutional securities, wealth management, and investment management segments with approximately 45% of net revenue from its institutional securities business, 45% from wealth management, and 10% from investment management. About 30% of its total revenue is from outside the Americas. The company had over $5 trillion of client assets as well as around 80,000 employees at the end of 2023.
Executives
Mandell Crawley officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 1585 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10036
Sharon Yeshaya officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O MORGAN STANLEY, 1585 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10036
Raja Akram officer: Deputy Chief Financial Officer 1585 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10036
Daniel A Simkowitz officer: Head of Investment Management C/O MORGAN STANLEY, 1585 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10036
Robert H Herz director C/O FANNIE MAE, 1100 15TH STREET, NW, WASHINGTON DC 20005
James P Gorman other: Business Unit Head C/O MORGAN STANLEY, 1585 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10036
Smith Charles Aubrey Iii officer: Chief Risk Officer 1585 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10036
Andrew M Saperstein officer: Head of Wealth Management 1585 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10036
Eric F Grossman officer: Chief Legal Officer C/O MORGAN STANLEY, 1585 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10036
Edward N Pick officer: Head of Inst'l Securities 1585 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10036
Thomas H Glocer director 2000 GALLOPING HILL ROAD, KENILWORTH NJ 07033
Alistair Darling director C/O MORGAN STANLEY 1585 BROADWAY, NEW YORK X1 10036
Masato Miyachi director C/O MORGAN STANLEY 1585 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10036
Stephen J Luczo director
Keishi Hotsuki officer: Interim Chief Risk Officer C/O MORGAN STANLEY, 1585 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10036