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HRI (Herc Holdings) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 18.13% (As of Sep. 2024)


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What is Herc Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Herc Holdings's forward rate of return for was 18.13%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Herc Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

HRI' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -20.02   Med: 8.55   Max: 18.59
Current: 18.59

During the past 11 years, Herc Holdings's highest Forward Rate of Return was 18.59. The lowest was -20.02. And the median was 8.55.

HRI's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
61.35% of 683 companies
in the Business Services industry
Industry Median: 14.25 vs HRI: 18.59

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Herc Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Herc Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Herc Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Herc Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 0.94 8.50 10.30 16.52

Herc Holdings Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 12.78 16.52 18.27 17.58 18.13

Competitive Comparison of Herc Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Rental & Leasing Services subindustry, Herc Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Herc Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Herc Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Herc Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Herc Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Herc Holdings's Forward Rate of Return of Sep. 2024 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=-2.97619048/159.43+0.2
=18.13 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Herc Holdings  (NYSE:HRI) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Herc Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Herc Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Herc Holdings Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
27500 Riverview Center Boulevard, Bonita Springs, FL, USA, 34134
Herc Holdings is an equipment rental company that was spun out of Hertz Global in 2016. It is currently the third-largest equipment rental company (4% market share) in North America, after United Rentals and Sunbelt Rentals, with a fleet size of $6.4 billion. It serves commercial and residential construction customers, the environmental sector, industrial entities, and entertainment production companies. During much of its 50-year-plus history, the company has rented equipment such as aerial lifts to its customers for intermittent use. More recently, it has broadened its catalog to include a host of specialty items. Separately, Herc Holdings' strategy now incorporates long-term rentals to industrial customers where Herc maintains its own staff at the customer site.
Executives
Aaron Birnbaum officer: SVP & Chief Operating Officer 27500 RIVERVIEW CENTER BLVD., BONITA SPRINGS FL 34134
Tamir Peres officer: SVP&Chief Information Officer 27500 RIVERVIEW CENTER BLVD., BONITA SPRINGS FL 34134
Lawrence Harris Silber director, officer: President & CEO 7 FOX HOLLOW COURT, FLEMINGTON NJ 08822
Christian J Cunningham officer: SVP & Chief HR Officer C/O HERC HOLDINGS INC., 27500 RIVERVIEW CENTER BLVD., BONITA SPRINGS FL 34134
Mark Alan Schumacher officer: VP, CAO and Controller 27500 RIVERVIEW CENTER BLVD, BONITA SPRINGS FL 34134
Carl C Icahn 10 percent owner C/O ICAHN ENTERPRISES L.P., 16690 COLLINS AVE., PH-1, SUNNY ISLES BEACH FL 33160
Mark Irion officer: SVP & CFO C/O NEFF CORPORATION, SUITE 400, 3750 N.W. 87TH AVENUE, MIAMI FL 33178
Hunter Clark Gary director C/O ICAHN ENTERPRISES L.P., 16690 COLLINS AVE., PH, SUNNY ISLES FL 33160
Steven D Miller director 16690 COLLINS AVENUE, PH, SUNNY ISLE BEACH FL 33160
Rakesh Sachdev director 3050 SPRUCE STREET, ST LOUIS MO 63103
James H Browning director 3760 JARDIN, HOUSTON TX 77005
Andrew Teno director C/O FIR TREE INC., 55 WEST 46TH STREET, 29TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Shari L Burgess director
Andrew Langham director C/O ICAHN ENTERPRISES L.P., 16690 COLLINS AVE., PH, SUNNY ISLES FL 33160
Herbert L Henkel director C/O INGERSOLL-RAND COMPANY LIMITED, 155 CHESTNUT RIDGE ROAD, MONTVALE NJ 07645