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HON (Honeywell International) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 7.72% (As of Sep. 2024)


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What is Honeywell International Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Honeywell International's forward rate of return for was 7.72%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Honeywell International's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

HON' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.98   Med: 10.45   Max: 22.12
Current: 7.76

During the past 13 years, Honeywell International's highest Forward Rate of Return was 22.12. The lowest was 3.98. And the median was 10.45.

HON's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
62.28% of 395 companies
in the Conglomerates industry
Industry Median: 13.45 vs HON: 7.76

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Honeywell International Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Honeywell International's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Honeywell International Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Honeywell International Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 10.50 6.69 5.86 4.29 5.31

Honeywell International Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.92 5.31 6.05 6.77 7.72

Competitive Comparison of Honeywell International's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Conglomerates subindustry, Honeywell International's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Honeywell International's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Conglomerates Industry

For the Conglomerates industry and Industrials sector, Honeywell International's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Honeywell International's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Honeywell International Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Honeywell International's Forward Rate of Return of Sep. 2024 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=7.14571429/206.71+0.0426
=7.72 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Honeywell International  (NAS:HON) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Honeywell International Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Honeywell International's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Honeywell International Business Description

Industry
Address
855 South Mint Street, Charlotte, NC, USA, 28202
Honeywell traces its roots to 1885 with Albert Butz's firm, Butz Thermo-Electric Regulator, which produced a predecessor to the modern thermostat. Other inventions by Honeywell include biodegradable detergent and autopilot. Today, Honeywell is a global multi-industry behemoth with one of the largest installed bases of equipment. It operates through four business segments: aerospace technologies (37% of 2023 company revenue), industrial automation (29%), energy and sustainability solutions (17%), and building automation (17%). Recently, Honeywell has made several portfolio changes to focus on fewer end markets and align with a set of secular growth trends. The firm is working diligently to expand its installed base, deriving 30% of its revenue from recurring aftermarket services.
Executives
Darius Adamczyk officer: President and CEO, PMT 855 S. MINT STREET, CHARLOTTE NC 28202
James E Currier officer: President & CEO, Aerospace 855 S. MINT STREET, CHARLOTTE NC 28202
Vimal Kapur officer: President & CEO, HBT C/O HONEYWELL 300 S. TRYON STREET, CHARLOTTE NC 07950
Billal Hammoud officer: President & CEO, HBT 855 S. MINT STREET, CHARLOTTE NC 28202
George Koutsaftes officer: President and CEO, SPS 855 S. MINT STREET, CHARLOTTE NC 28202
Karen Mattimore officer: SrVP, HR and Communications 300 SOUTH TRYON STR, CHARLOTTE NC 28202
Lucian Boldea officer: President and CEO, PMT 855 S. MINT STREET, CHARLOTTE NC 28202
Robin Watson director 855 S. MINT STREET, CHARLOTTE NC 28202
Gregory P Lewis officer: SVP & Chief Financial Officer C/O HONEYWELL INTERNATIONAL INC., 300 SOUTH TRYON STREET, CHARLOTTE NC 28202
Kevin Dehoff officer: President and CEO, HCE 855 S. MINT STREET, CHARLOTTE NC 28202
Rose Lee director C/O CROWN HOLDINGS, INC., 770 TOWNSHIP LINE ROAD, YARDLEY PA 19067
Que Dallara officer: Pres/CEO -Connected Enterprise C/O HONEYWELL 300 S. TRYON STREET, CHARLOTTE NC 28202
Doug Wright officer: President & CEO, HBT 855 S. MINT STREET, CHARLOTTE NC 28202
D Scott Davis director 115 TABOR ROAD, MORRIS PLAINS NJ 07950
Rajeev Gautam officer: Pres. and CEO, PMT C/O HONEYWELL, 300 S. TRYON STREET, CHARLOTTE NC 28202