What is Ryland Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Ryland Group's forward rate of return for was 0.00%.
The historical rank and industry rank for Ryland Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
FRA:RYG'
s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -9.7 Med: 17.8 Max: 42.3
Current: -5.24
During the past 13 years, Ryland Group's highest Forward Rate of Return was 42.30. The lowest was -9.70. And the median was 17.80.
FRA:RYG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked
in the Homebuilding & Construction industry.
Industry Median: 8.9
vs FRA:RYG: -5.24
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
Ryland Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
The historical data trend for Ryland Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
* Premium members only.
Ryland Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
Competitive Comparison of Ryland Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
For the Residential Construction subindustry, Ryland Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Ryland Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Homebuilding & Construction Industry
For the Homebuilding & Construction industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Ryland Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Ryland Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
Ryland Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
Ryland Group's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2015 is
Forward Rate of Return
=
Normalized Free Cash Flow
/
Price
+
5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=
0.65752381
/
0
+
-0.1016
=
0 %
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Ryland Group (FRA:RYG) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
Ryland Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Ryland Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Ryland Group Inc is a Maryland corporation, which was founded in 1967. It is a homebuilder and a mortgage-finance company. The Company consists of six operating business segments namely four geographically determined homebuilding regions; financial services; and corporate. The Company's homebuilding operations consist of four regional reporting segments namely North, Southeast, Texas and West. The homebuilding segments specialize in the sale and construction of single-family attached and detached housing. Its operations in each of its homebuilding markets might differ due to a number of market-specific factors. These factors include regional economic conditions and job growth; land availability and local land development; consumer preferences; competition from other homebuilders; and home resale activity. The Company's financial services segment includes RMC, RH Insurance Company, Inc. or RHIC, LPS Holdings Corporation and its subsidiaries and Columbia National Risk Retention Group, Inc. or CNRRG. Corporate is a non-operating business segment whose purpose is to support operations. Corporate is responsible for establishing operational policies and internal control standards; implementing strategic initiatives; and monitoring compliance with policies and controls throughout the Company's operations. Corporate acts as an internal source of capital and provides financial, human resource, information technology, insurance, legal, marketing, national purchasing and tax compliance services. In addition, it performs administrative functions associated with a publicly traded entity. Ryland Insurance Services or RIS, a wholly-owned subsidiary of RMC, provides insurance services to the Company's homebuyers. As single-family on-site homebuilders in the United States, it operates in 17 states. The Company's homebuilding segments are subject to a number of local, state and federal laws, statutes, ordinances, rules and regulations concerning zoning, building design, construction, stormwater permitting and discharge and similar matters, as well as open space, wetlands and environmentally protected areas.
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