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PetSmart (FRA:PEM) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 21.78% (As of Oct. 2014)


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What is PetSmart Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. PetSmart's forward rate of return for was 21.78%.

The historical rank and industry rank for PetSmart's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:PEM's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Retail - Cyclical industry.
Industry Median: 14.05
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


PetSmart Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for PetSmart's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

PetSmart Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

PetSmart Annual Data
Trend Jan06 Jan07 Jan08 Jan09 Jan10 Jan11 Jan12 Jan13 Jan14 Jan15
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 14.42 12.42 18.34 22.19 -

PetSmart Quarterly Data
Apr10 Jul10 Oct10 Jan11 Apr11 Jul11 Oct11 Jan12 Apr12 Jul12 Oct12 Jan13 Apr13 Jul13 Oct13 Jan14 Apr14 Jul14 Oct14 Jan15
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 22.19 22.15 22.25 21.78 -

Competitive Comparison of PetSmart's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, PetSmart's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PetSmart's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, PetSmart's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PetSmart's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



PetSmart Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

PetSmart's Forward Rate of Return of Oct. 2014 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=2.8592381/0+0.1667
=0 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


PetSmart  (FRA:PEM) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


PetSmart Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of PetSmart's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


PetSmart (FRA:PEM) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
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Address
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PetSmart Inc was incorporated in the State of Delaware in 1986. The Company provides specialty products, services and solutions for the lifetime needs of pets in North America. It offers a broad selection of products for all the life stages of pets, as well as various pet services including professional grooming, training, day camp for dogs and boarding. It also offers pet products through its website, PetSmart.com. As of 2 February 2014, it operated 1,333 retail stores and had full-service veterinary hospitals in 844 of its stores. MMI Holdings, Inc., through a wholly owned subsidiary, Medical Management International, Inc., operated 837 of the veterinary hospitals under the registered trade name of "Banfield, The Pet Hospital." The remaining 7 hospitals are operated by other third parties in Canada. The Company opened 55 net new stores in 2013 and at the end of the year operated 1,333 retail stores in the United States, Puerto Rico and Canada. Its stores typically range in size from 12,000 to 27,500 square feet and carry a broad selection of high-quality pet products at everyday low prices. It offers approximately 11,000 distinct items in stores and 9,000 additional items on its website, PetSmart.com, including nationally recognized brand names, as well as an extensive selection of proprietary brands across a range of product categories. All the Company's stores feature pet styling salons that provide high-quality grooming services and offer comprehensive pet training services. Its PetsHotels provide boarding for dogs and cats, which includes 24-hour supervision by caregivers who are trained to provide personalized pet care, temperature controlled rooms and suites, daily specialty treats and play time, as well as day camp for dogs. As of 3 February 2014, it operated 199 PetsHotels. The Company's trademarks include PetSmart, PetSmart.com, PetSmart PetsHotel, PetPerks, and Where Pets Are Family, as well as many others.

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