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Foster Wheeler AG (FRA:FWI) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : -8.70% (As of Sep. 2014)


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What is Foster Wheeler AG Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Foster Wheeler AG's forward rate of return for was -8.70%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Foster Wheeler AG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:FWI' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -210.6   Med: -7.05   Max: 26.8
Current: -8.27

During the past 13 years, Foster Wheeler AG's highest Forward Rate of Return was 26.80. The lowest was -210.60. And the median was -7.05.

FRA:FWI's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked
in the Construction industry.
Industry Median: 6.33 vs FRA:FWI: -8.27

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Foster Wheeler AG Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Foster Wheeler AG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Foster Wheeler AG Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Foster Wheeler AG Annual Data
Trend Dec04 Dec05 Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.20 5.76 2.24 -9.13 -7.30

Foster Wheeler AG Quarterly Data
Dec09 Mar10 Jun10 Sep10 Dec10 Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -7.69 -7.30 -7.09 -7.61 -8.70

Competitive Comparison of Foster Wheeler AG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Engineering & Construction subindustry, Foster Wheeler AG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Foster Wheeler AG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Foster Wheeler AG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Foster Wheeler AG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Foster Wheeler AG Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Foster Wheeler AG's Forward Rate of Return of Sep. 2014 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.76057143/24.137+-0.1107
=-7.92 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Foster Wheeler AG  (FRA:FWI) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Foster Wheeler AG Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Foster Wheeler AG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Foster Wheeler AG (FRA:FWI) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
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Address
Foster Wheeler AG was formed in 1927. The Company, with its subsidiaries, is a provider of construction and engineering services. The Company serves the oil and gas, oil refining, chemical and petrochemical, environmental, power generation, and power plant operation and maintenance industries. The Company operates through two business groups: its Global Engineering and Construction Group (Global E&C Group) and its Global Power Group. The Global E&C Group operates and designs, engineers, and constructs onshore and offshore upstream oil and gas processing facilities, natural gas liquefaction facilities and receiving terminals, gas-to-liquids facilities, oil refining, pharmaceutical and biotechnology facilities and related infrastructure, power generation and distribution facilities, and gasification facilities. The group provides engineering, project management and construction management services, and also designs facilities in new or developing market sectors, such as carbon capture and storage, solid fuel-fired integrated gasification combined-cycle power plants, coal-to-liquids, coal-to-chemicals and biofuels. The Global E&C Group additionally performs environmental remediation services. The Global Power Group designs, manufactures and installs steam generators and auxiliary equipment for electric power generating stations, district heating and power plants and industrial facilities. It offers new and retrofit nitrogen-oxide reduction systems, and provides site services related to these products, including construction and erection, maintenance engineering, plant upgrading, and life extensions. The Global Power Group conducts research and development in the areas of combustion, solid, fluid, and gas dynamics, heat transfer, materials, and solid mechanics. Further, this group owns and operates independent power production and waste-to-energy facilities, as well as power generation facilities for the process and petrochemical industries. Companies that compete with Global E&C Group include but are not limited to the following: Bechtel Corporation; Chicago Bridge & Iron Company N.V.; Chiyoda Corporation; Fluor Corporation; Jacobs Engineering Group Inc.; JGC Corporation; KBR, Inc.; Saipem S.p.A.; Technip; Técnicas Reunidas, SA; and WorleyParsons Ltd. Companies that compete with Global Power Group include but are not limited to the following: Alstom Power S.A.; Andritz Group AG; The Babcock & Wilcox Company; Babcock Power Inc.; Dongfang Boiler Works (a subsidiary of Dong Fang Electric Corporation); Doosan-Babcock; Harbin Boiler Co., Ltd.; Hitachi, Ltd.; Metso Corporation; Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Ltd.; and Shanghai Boiler Works Ltd. The operations are subject to certain federal, state and local environmental, occupational health and product safety laws.

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