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EMR (Emerson Electric Co) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 5.82% (As of Jun. 2024)


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What is Emerson Electric Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Emerson Electric Co's forward rate of return for was 5.82%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Emerson Electric Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

EMR' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.02   Med: 4.32   Max: 11.74
Current: 5.86

During the past 13 years, Emerson Electric Co's highest Forward Rate of Return was 11.74. The lowest was 0.02. And the median was 4.32.

EMR's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
59.23% of 1960 companies
in the Industrial Products industry
Industry Median: 10.08 vs EMR: 5.86

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Emerson Electric Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Emerson Electric Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Emerson Electric Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Emerson Electric Co Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.67 8.73 7.94 3.72 2.22

Emerson Electric Co Quarterly Data
Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.88 2.22 3.20 4.28 5.82

Competitive Comparison of Emerson Electric Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, Emerson Electric Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Emerson Electric Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Emerson Electric Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Emerson Electric Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Emerson Electric Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Emerson Electric Co's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2024 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=3.95961905/110.16+0.0223
=5.82 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Emerson Electric Co  (NYSE:EMR) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Emerson Electric Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Emerson Electric Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Emerson Electric Co Business Description

Industry
Address
8000 West Florissant Avenue, P.O. Box 4100, St. Louis, MO, USA, 63136
Emerson Electric sells automation equipment and services under two segments: intelligent devices and software control. Within software and control, it also holds a majority interest in AspenTech, an industrial software business, and owns a test and measurement business that was formerly National Instruments. Intelligent devices also holds Emerson's tools business, which boasts several household brands, like Ridgid. Emerson's automation business is most known for its process manufacturing solutions, which consists of measurement and analytical instrumentation, as well as control valves and actuators, among other products and services. Nearly half of the firm's geographic sales come from the Americas.
Executives
Matthew S Levatich director HARLEY-DAVIDSON MOTOR COMPANY, 3700 WEST JUNEAU AVENUE, MILWAUKEE WI 53208
Surendralal Lanca Karsanbhai officer: Exec Pres Auto Sols C/O EMERSON ELECTRIC CO., 8000 W. FLORISSANT AVENUE, ST. LOUIS MO 63136
Mark A Blinn director 5215 N. O'CONNOR BLVD., SUITE 2300, IRVING TX 75039
Ram R. Krishnan officer: Executive Vice Pres & COO C/O EMERSON ELECTRIC CO., 8000 W. FLORISSANT AVENUE, ST. LOUIS MO 63136
Mckelvey James Morgan Jr. director 2645 SOUTH BAYSHORE #802, MIAMI FL 33133
Joshua B. Bolten director ROCK CREEK GLOBAL ADVISORS, 1401 I STREET NW, SUITE 1120, WASHINGTON DC 20005
Arthur F Golden director 450 LEXINGTON AVE, NEW YORK NY 10017
Easter William H Iii director 370 17TH ST, STE 2500, DENVER CO 80202
Vidya Ramnath officer: Senior VP & CMO C/O EMERSON ELECTRIC CO., 8000 W. FLORISSANT AVENUE, ST. LOUIS MO 63136
Nicholas J. Piazza officer: Senior VP & CPO C/O EMERSON ELECTRIC CO., 8000 W. FLORISSANT AVENUE, ST. LOUIS MO 63136
Lisa Flavin officer: Sr. VP & CCO 8300 MARYLAND AVENUE, ST. LOUIS MO 63105
Leticia Goncalves Lourenco director C/O EMERSON ELECTRIC CO., 8000 W. FLORISSANT AVENUE, ST. LOUIS MO 63136
Peter Zornio officer: Chief Technology Officer C/O EMERSON ELECTRIC CO., 8000 W. FLORISSANT AVENUE, ST. LOUIS MO 63136
Frank J Dellaquila officer: Sr. V. P. and Controller C/O RELIANCE STEEL & ALUMINUM CO., 16100 N. 71ST STREET, SUITE 400, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85254
Sara Yang Bosco officer: Sr. VP, Secy & Gen. Counsel 8000 W. FLORISSANT AVENUE, ST. LOUIS MO 63136