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ECL (Ecolab) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 5.77% (As of Jun. 2024)


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What is Ecolab Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Ecolab's forward rate of return for was 5.77%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ecolab's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

ECL' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -1.78   Med: 5.45   Max: 20.63
Current: 5.64

During the past 13 years, Ecolab's highest Forward Rate of Return was 20.63. The lowest was -1.78. And the median was 5.45.

ECL's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
54.15% of 1158 companies
in the Chemicals industry
Industry Median: 8.555 vs ECL: 5.64

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Ecolab Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ecolab's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ecolab Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Ecolab Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.38 1.95 -1.78 0.27 4.75

Ecolab Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.28 4.75 5.12 5.77 -

Competitive Comparison of Ecolab's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, Ecolab's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ecolab's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Ecolab's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ecolab's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Ecolab Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Ecolab's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2024 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=4.93542857/255.33+0.0433
=6.26 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Ecolab  (NYSE:ECL) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Ecolab Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Ecolab's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Ecolab Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Basic Materials » Chemicals » Ecolab Inc (NYSE:ECL) » Definitions » Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Address
1 Ecolab Place, Saint Paul, MN, USA, 55102
Ecolab produces and markets cleaning and sanitation products for the industrial manufacturing, hospitality, healthcare, and life sciences markets. The firm is the global market share leader in this category with a wide array of products and services, including dish and laundry washing systems, pest control, and infection control products. Additionally, Ecolab sells customized water management solutions across its end markets. The company has a strong hold on the US market and is growing its presence abroad.
Executives
Victoria Reich director UNITED STATIONERS SUPPLY CO, ONE PARKWAY NORTH BLVD SUITE 100, LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Gregory B Cook officer: EVP & PRES - INST GROUP 1 ECOLAB PLACE, SAINT PAUL MN 55102
Nicholas J. Alfano officer: EVP & PRES - GLOBAL INDUSTRIAL 1 ECOLAB PLACE, SAINT PAUL MN 55102
Laurie M Marsh officer: Senior VP - Human Resources 1601 W. DIEHL ROAD, NAPERVILLE IL 60563
David Maclennan director 14701 CHARLSON ROAD, EDEN PRAIRIE MN 55347
Arthur J Higgins director C/O ZIMMER, INC., P.O. BOX 708, WARSAW IN 46580
Jennifer J Bradway officer: SVP & CORPORATE CONTROLLER 1 ECOLAB PLACE, ST. PAUL MN 55102
Angela M Busch officer: SVP - Corporate Development 1 ECOLAB PLACE, SAINT PAUL MN 55102
Nicolas A Granucci officer: EVP & PRES - GLOBAL PEST 1 ECOLAB PLACE, SAINT PAUL MN 55102
Larry L Berger officer: Chief Technical Officer & SVP 1 ECOLAB PLACE, SAINT PAUL MN 55102
Gail Peterson officer: SVP - Global Mktg & Comms 1 ECOLAB PLACE, SAINT PAUL MN 55102
Christophe Beck officer: Executive V.P., Instit. NA 370 WABASHA STREET NORTH, SAINT PAUL MN 55102
Eric Mark Green director 530 HERMAN O. WEST DRIVE, EXTON PA 19341
Gates William H Iii 10 percent owner 2365 CARILLON POINT, KIRKLAND WA 98033
Michael C. Mccormick officer: Ex.VP, GC & Asst. Secretary 1 ECOLAB PLACE, ST. PAUL MN 55102

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