Whitestone REIT (Whitestone REIT) Predictability Rank

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What is Whitestone REIT Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Whitestone REIT Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Whitestone REIT (Whitestone REIT) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » REITs » Whitestone REIT (NYSE:WSR) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

2600 South Gessner, Suite 500, Houston, TX, USA, 77063

Website

https://www.whitestonereit.com

Whitestone REIT is a real estate investment trust (REIT) engaged in owning and operating commercial properties in culturally diverse markets in metropolitan areas. Its property portfolio includes retail and office/flex properties. The company's properties are located in business-friendly locations in and around Austin, Chicago, Dallas-Fort Worth, Houston, Phoenix, and San Antonio. The organization derives revenue in the form of rental revenues.

Executives

Julia Bruns Buthman	director	5414 BELMONT AVE., DALLAS TX 75206
Amy Shih-hua Feng	director	305 2ND AVENUE, APT 534, NEW YORK NY 10003
Christine J Mastandrea	officer: VP Strategy & Mkt Research	2600 SOUTH GESSNER ROAD, SUITE 500, HOUSTON TX 77063
Soklin Siv	officer: VP of Human Resources	4506 LAKE BARDWELL CT., RICHMOND TX 77406
John Scott Hogan	officer: Chief Financial Officer	2311 SUN SHADOW LN, SPRING TX 77386
Peter Tropoli	officer: General Counsel
Jeffrey Alan Jones	director	WHITESTONE REIT, 2600 SOUTH GESSNER ROAD, SUITE 500, HOUSTON TX 77063
James C Mastandrea	director, officer: CHAIRMAN & CEO	1240 HURON ROAD SUITE 301, CLEVELAND OH 44115
David F. Taylor	director	WHITESTONE REIT, 2600 SOUTH GESSNER ROAD, SUITE 500, HOUSTON TX 77063
Najeeb A Khan	director	PO BOX 1602, SOUTH BEND IN 46634
Nandita Berry	director	2600 SOUTH GESSNER, SUITE 500, HOUSTON TX 77063
Paul T Lambert	director
David K Holeman	officer: CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER	20 GREENWAY PLAZA, SUITE 600, HOUSTON TX 77046
John J Dee	officer: CHIEF OPERATING OFFICER
Kyle A Miller	officer: Vice President of Operations	2600 SOUTH GESSNER ROAD SUITE 500, HOUSTON TX 77063