Zoned Properties (Zoned Properties) Predictability Rank

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What is Zoned Properties Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Zoned Properties Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Zoned Properties (Zoned Properties) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » Real Estate » Zoned Properties Inc (OTCPK:ZDPY) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

8360 E. Raintree Drive, Suite 230, Scottsdale, AZ, USA, 85260

Website

https://www.zonedproperties.com

Zoned Properties Inc is a strategic real estate development company, whose primary mission is to identify, develop, and lease sophisticated, safe, and sustainable properties in emerging industries, including the licensed medical marijuana industry. The company acquires commercial properties that face zoning challenges and identifies solutions that can potentially have a majority impact on the cash flow and property value. It targets commercial properties that can be acquired and re-zoned for specific purposes.

Executives

Bryan Mclaren	director, officer: CEO & President	C/O ZONED PROPERTIES, INC., 14300 N. NORTHSIGHT BLVD., #208, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85260
Derek Overstreet	director	C/O ZONED PROPERTIES, INC., 14269 N. 87TH STREET #205, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85260
Daniel Ryan Gauthier	officer: Chief Legal Officer & CCO	8360 E. RAINTREE DRIVE, #230, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85260
Art Friedman	director	C/O ZONED PROPERTIES, INC., 14300 N. NORTHSIGHT BLVD.,#208,, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85260
Berekk Alan Blackwell	officer: Chief Operating Officer	C/O ZONED PROPERTIES, INC., 14269 N. 87TH STREET, #205, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85260
Jody Kevin Kane	director	92 VALLEY ROAD, WEST HARRISION NY 10604
David G. Honaman	director	C/O ZONED PROPERTIES, INC., 14300 N. NORTHSIGHT BLVD., #208, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85260
Adam C Wasserman	officer: Chief Financial Officer	1643 ROYAL GROVE WAY, WESTON FL 33327
Irvin Rosenfeld	director	C/O ZONED PROPERTIES, INC., 14300 N. NORTHSIGHT BLVD., #208, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85260
Alan B. Abrams	10 percent owner	2286 E. WALKER RD, PRESCOTT AZ 86303
Christopher Carra	10 percent owner	8880 E FRIESS, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85260
Greg Johnston	10 percent owner	915 STITCH RD., LAKE STEVENS WA 98258
Alex Mclaren	director	C/O ZONED PROPERTIES, INC., 14300 N. NORTHSIGHT BLVD., #208, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85260
Patricia Haugland	officer: Chief Operating Officer	C/O ZONED PROPERTIES, INC., 14300 N. NORTHSIGHT BLVD., #208, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85260
Christopher Michael Anzalone	director, 10 percent owner, officer: President and CEO	6301 NW 5TH WAY, SUITE 5000, FT. LAUDERDALE FL 33309