TeraWulf (TeraWulf) Predictability Rank

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What is TeraWulf Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

TeraWulf Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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TeraWulf (TeraWulf) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Capital Markets » TeraWulf Inc (NAS:WULF) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

9 Federal Street, Easton, MD, USA, 21601

Website

https://www.terawulf.com

TeraWulf Inc is a digital asset technology company with a core business of sustainable bitcoin mining. The company develops, owns and operates its bitcoin mining facility sites in the United States powered by hydro, nuclear, and solar energy.

Executives

Paul B. Prager	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer	9 FEDERAL STREET, EASTON MD 21601
Michael C. Bucella	director	C/O TERAWULF INC., 9 FEDERAL STREET, EASTON MD 21601
Patrick Fleury	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O GSO CAPTTAL PARTNERS LP, 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Bryan J. Pascual	10 percent owner	53 PALMERAS STREET, SUITE 601, SAN JUAN PR 00901
Revolve Capital Llc	10 percent owner	339 DORADO BEACH EAST, DORADO PR 00646
Walter E. Carter	director	9 FEDERAL STREET, EASTON MD 21601
Jason Griffin New	director	280 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017
Kenneth J Deane	officer: CFO & Treasurer	9 FEDERAL STREET, EASTON MD 21601
Stammtisch Investments Llc	10 percent owner	9 FEDERAL STREET, EASTON MD 21601
Lisa A. Prager	director	9 FEDERAL STREET, EASTON MD 21601
Kerri M. Langlais	officer: Chief Strategy Officer	9 FEDERAL STREET, EASTON MD 21601
Nazar M. Khan	director, officer: COO & Chief Technology Officer	9 FEDERAL STREET, EASTON MD 21601
Catherine J. Motz	director	9 FEDERAL STREET, EASTON MD 21601
Steven T. Pincus	director	9 FEDERAL STREET, EASTON MD 21601
Bayshore Capital Llc	10 percent owner	53 PALMERAS STREET, SUITE 601, SAN JUAN PR 00901