Western Uranium & Vanadium (Western Uranium & Vanadium) Predictability Rank

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What is Western Uranium & Vanadium Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Western Uranium & Vanadium Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Western Uranium & Vanadium (Western Uranium & Vanadium) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Other Energy Sources » Western Uranium & Vanadium Corp (OTCPK:WSTRF) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

7WT:Germany WUC:Canada

Address

330 Bay Street, Suite 1400, Toronto, ON, CAN, M5H 2S8

Website

https://www.western-uranium.com

Western Uranium & Vanadium Corp is a Canada based company involved in industrial metals and mines business sector. The company is involved in the acquisition and development of uranium and vanadium resource properties in the states of Utah and Colorado in the United States of America.

Executives

Wilder Andrew J.s.	director	27 REYNOLDS LANE, KATONAH NY 10536
Bryan J Murphy	director	1681 BRAMSEY DRIVE, MISSISSAUGA A6 L5J 2H9
Robert R. Klein	officer: Chief Financial Officer	7 BRENTWOOD COURT, WARREN NJ 07059
Baobab Asset Management Llc	10 percent owner	3 GREENWICH OFFICE PARK, SUITE 102, GREENWICH CT 06831
George Edwinlee Glasier	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer	31161 HIGHWAY 90, PO BOX 825, NUCLA CO 81424
Russell S. Fryer	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Executive Chairman	3 GREENWICH OFFICE PARK, SUITE 102, GREENWICH CT 06831
Siebels Hard Asset Fund, Ltd.	10 percent owner	C/O GREEN CAY PRIVATE CLIENT LTD, LYFORD CAY DRIVE, LYFORD CAY, NASSAU C5 N-7776
Skutezky Ernest Michael Rhodes	director	SUITE 101, 2 ROXBOROUGH STREET EAST, TORONTO A6 M4W 3V7