What is Tattooed Chef Predictability Rank?
Not Rated
Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:
1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.
It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.
GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.
Tattooed Chef Predictability Rank Calculation
In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.
Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:
Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.
The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.
Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns
| Predictables | Non-Predictable | All stocks |
|---|
| Total Number of stocks | 570 | 1833 | 2403 |
| Total Lost Money | 61 | 830 | 891 |
| Total Lost More Than 50% | 18 | 412 | 430 |
| Total Lost More Than 90% | 4 | 86 | 90 |
| Average Gain | 260.6% | 100.0% | 138.1% |
| Median Gain | 150.0% | 13.0% | 39.0% |
| Maximum Gain | 2852.0% | 11483.0% | 11483.0% |
| Maximum Loss | -100.0% | -100.0% | -100.0% |
| Annualized Average Gain | 12.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% |
| Annualized Median Gain | 8.9% | 1.1% | 3.1% |
For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.
| Predictability Rank | 5-Star | 4.5-Star | 4-Star | 3.5-Star | 3-Star | 2.5-Star | 2-Star | 1-Star (non-predictable) | Average among all |
|---|
| % Out of All 2403 Stocks |
3.3% |
2.9% |
3.7% |
3.3% |
3.3% |
3.7% |
3.3% |
76.3% |
100% |
| % that are in Loss (10y) |
3% |
10% |
8% |
9% |
11% |
18% |
16% |
45% |
37% |
| Average Gain (10y) |
364.6% |
330.9% |
278.0% |
235.1% |
243.5% |
227.8% |
154.8% |
100.0% |
138.1% |
| Median Gain (10y) |
238.5% |
193.5% |
171.0% |
159.0% |
132.5% |
113.5% |
87.0% |
13.0% |
39.0% |
| Maximum Gainer |
2228.0% |
2547.0% |
2452.0% |
2852.0% |
2432.0% |
1892.0% |
1807.0% |
11483.0% |
11483.0% |
| Maximum Loser |
-82.0% |
-53.0% |
-67.0% |
-100.0% |
-83.0% |
-100.0% |
-78.0% |
-100.0% |
-100.0% |
| Annualized Average Gain |
15.4% |
14.6% |
13.2% |
12.0% |
12.2% |
11.7% |
9.1% |
6.7% |
8.4% |
| Annualized Median Gain |
12.1% |
10.6% |
9.8% |
9.3% |
8.2% |
7.3% |
6.0% |
1.1% |
3.1% |
For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank
Also read:
Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety
Tattooed Chef (Tattooed Chef) Business Description
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
6305 Alondra Boulevard, Paramount, CA, USA, 90723
Tattooed Chef Inc is a plant-based food company offering a broad portfolio of innovative frozen foods. The company supplies plant-based products to leading retailers in the United States, with signature products such as ready-to-cook bowls, zucchini spirals, riced cauliflower, acai and smoothie bowls, cauliflower crust pizza, wood fire-crusted pizza, handheld burritos, bars, and quesadillas.
Executives
| Gasper Guarrasi |
officer: Chief Operating Officer |
235 POINSETTIA AVE., CORONA DEL MAR CA 92625 |
| Daniel James Williamson |
director |
1 RICKIE LANE, LADERA RANCH CA 92694 |
| Salvatore Galletti |
director, officer: Chief Executive Officer |
27996 PALOS VERDES DR E, RANCHO PALOS VERDES CA 90275 |
| Stephanie Dieckmann |
officer: Chief Operating Officer |
1002 S AMBRIDGE ST, ANAHEIM CA 92806 |
| Charles Franks Cargile |
officer: Chief Financial Officer |
29 HILLGRASS, IRVINE CA 92603 |
| Thomas Matthew Williams |
officer: Chief Growth Officer |
527 21ST STREET, HUNTINGTON BEACH CA 92648 |
| Bryan Stephen Rosenberg |
director |
2443 MYRTLE AVENUE, HERMOSA BEACH CA 90254 |
| Ryan Matthew Olohan |
director |
27 SYLVAN DRIVE, PINE BROOK NJ 07058 |
| Paula Ciaramitaro |
director |
2408 RUE LA CHARLENE, RANCHO PALOS VERDES CA 90275 |
| Marie Quintero-johnson |
director |
3130 FERNCLIFF COMMONS, NE ATLANTA GA 30324 |
| Jennifer Sims Fellner |
director |
3790 HAPPY VALLEY ROAD, LAFAYETTE CA 94549 |
| Edward S Gelfand |
director |
6305 ALONDRA BLVD, PARAMOUNT CA 90723 |
| Giuseppe Bardari |
officer: President, Ittella Italy |
VIA PRANGI LOTTO COLACE, PIZZO L6 89812 |
| Sarah Galletti |
officer: Director of R&D |
27996 PALOS VERDES DR E, RANCHO PALOS VERDES CA 90275 |
| Steven Berns |
director |
TRADEWEB MARKETS INC., 1177 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036 |
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