What is Thunder Energies Predictability Rank?
1 (5)
Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:
1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.
It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.
GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.
Thunder Energies Predictability Rank Calculation
In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.
Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:
Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.
The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.
Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns
| Predictables | Non-Predictable | All stocks |
|---|
| Total Number of stocks | 570 | 1833 | 2403 |
| Total Lost Money | 61 | 830 | 891 |
| Total Lost More Than 50% | 18 | 412 | 430 |
| Total Lost More Than 90% | 4 | 86 | 90 |
| Average Gain | 260.6% | 100.0% | 138.1% |
| Median Gain | 150.0% | 13.0% | 39.0% |
| Maximum Gain | 2852.0% | 11483.0% | 11483.0% |
| Maximum Loss | -100.0% | -100.0% | -100.0% |
| Annualized Average Gain | 12.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% |
| Annualized Median Gain | 8.9% | 1.1% | 3.1% |
For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.
| Predictability Rank | 5-Star | 4.5-Star | 4-Star | 3.5-Star | 3-Star | 2.5-Star | 2-Star | 1-Star (non-predictable) | Average among all |
|---|
| % Out of All 2403 Stocks |
3.3% |
2.9% |
3.7% |
3.3% |
3.3% |
3.7% |
3.3% |
76.3% |
100% |
| % that are in Loss (10y) |
3% |
10% |
8% |
9% |
11% |
18% |
16% |
45% |
37% |
| Average Gain (10y) |
364.6% |
330.9% |
278.0% |
235.1% |
243.5% |
227.8% |
154.8% |
100.0% |
138.1% |
| Median Gain (10y) |
238.5% |
193.5% |
171.0% |
159.0% |
132.5% |
113.5% |
87.0% |
13.0% |
39.0% |
| Maximum Gainer |
2228.0% |
2547.0% |
2452.0% |
2852.0% |
2432.0% |
1892.0% |
1807.0% |
11483.0% |
11483.0% |
| Maximum Loser |
-82.0% |
-53.0% |
-67.0% |
-100.0% |
-83.0% |
-100.0% |
-78.0% |
-100.0% |
-100.0% |
| Annualized Average Gain |
15.4% |
14.6% |
13.2% |
12.0% |
12.2% |
11.7% |
9.1% |
6.7% |
8.4% |
| Annualized Median Gain |
12.1% |
10.6% |
9.8% |
9.3% |
8.2% |
7.3% |
6.0% |
1.1% |
3.1% |
For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank
Also read:
Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety
Thunder Energies (Thunder Energies) Business Description
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
PMB 388, 8570 Stirling Road, Suite 102, Hollywood, FL, USA, 33024
Thunder Energies Corp is engaged in increasing the shareholder value by divesting from its CBD/Hemp retail cannabidiol business model and expanding its investments footprint into the following business sectors to create a diversified portfolio of the following: 1) Diversified cash flowing assets such as fixed-income, 2) Commercial real estate projects that include resorts and associated timeshare and condo developments, 3) Entertainment venues including indoor outdoor water parks, family entertainment centers, adventure parks, 4) Residential real estate projects that include eco-friendly multi-family housing and Precious metal/mineral mining ventures.
Executives
| Saveene Corp |
10 percent owner |
224 DATURA ST. #1015, WEST PALM BEACH FL 33401 |
| Ruggero M Santilli |
director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer |
35246 US 19 NORTH N.215, PALM HARBOR FL 34684 |
| Brian Keith Buckley |
10 percent owner |
4637 MURCROSS LN, NEW PORT RICHEY FL 34653 |
| William George Gaines |
officer: President, COO |
1444 RAINVILLE ROAD, TARPON SPRINGS FL 34689 |
| Margaret Haberlin Currey |
officer: Chief Executive Officer |
1444 RAINVILLE ROAD, TARPON SPRINGS FL 34689 |
| Hadronic Technologies Press, Inc. |
10 percent owner |
35246 US HIGHWAY 19 NORTH, SUITE #215, PALM HARBOR FL 34684 |
| R.m. Santilli Foundation, Inc. |
10 percent owner |
35246 US HIGHWAY 19 NORTH, SUITE #215, PALM HARBOR FL 34684 |
| Global Beta, Llc |
10 percent owner |
150 RAINVILLE ROAD, TARPON SPRINGS FL 34689 |
| Clean Energies Tech Co. |
10 percent owner |
35246 US 19 NORTH, SUITE 215, PALM HARBOR FL 34684 |
| Carla Santilli |
director, 10 percent owner, officer: Secretary, Treasurer |
90 EASTWINDS CT., PALM HARBOR FL 34683 |
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