TruBridge (TruBridge) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2002. Start your Free Trial

What is TruBridge Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

TruBridge Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

TruBridge Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of TruBridge's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

TruBridge (TruBridge) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Healthcare Providers & Services » TruBridge Inc (NAS:TBRG) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

PS1:Germany PS1:Germany

Address

54 St. Emanuel Street, Mobile, AL, USA, 36602

Website

https://www.cpsi.com

Computer Programs and Systems Inc is a provider of healthcare solutions and services for community hospitals and post-acute care facilities. The company's segment includes Acute Care EHR, Post-acute Care EHR, and TruBridge. Acute Care EHR segment consists of acute care software solutions and support sales generated by Evident and Health and. Post-acute Care EHR segment consists of post-acute care software solutions and support sales generated by AHT, and TruBridge segment primarily consists of business management, consulting and managed IT services sales generated by TruBridge and the sale of Rycan's revenue cycle management workflow and automation software. It generates a majority of its revenue from the Acute Care EHR segment.

Executives

Mark V Anquillare	director	C/O VERISK ANALYTICS, INC., 545 WASHINGTON BOULEVARD, JERSEY CITY NJ 07310-1686
Lance Park	officer: VP Finance & Controller	54 ST. EMANUEL STREET, MOBILE AL 36602
Kevin Plessner	officer: General Counsel	54 ST. EMANUEL STREET, MOBILE AL 36602
Wes Cronkite	officer: Chief Technology & Innovation	54 ST. EMANUEL STREET, MOBILE AL 36602
David A Dye	director, officer: Chief Growth Officer	1307 CAPTAIN O'NEAL DR., DAPHNE AL 36526
Christopher L Fowler	officer: COO and President (TruBridge)	6600 WALL STREET, MOBILE AL 36695
Robert D Hinckle	officer: Senior VP - Client Services	COMPUTER PROGRAMS AND SYSTEMS, INC., 6600 WALL STREET, MOBILE AL 36695
Glenn Tobin	director	CERNER CORP, 2800 ROCKCREEK PARKWAY, KANSAS CITY MO 64117
James Patrick Murphy	officer: SVP, TruBridge, Bus. Service	54 ST. EMANUEL STREET, MOBILE AL 36602
Amaris Angelica Mccomas	officer: Chief People Officer	54 ST. EMANUEL STREET, MOBILE AL 36602
Claire Stephens	officer: SVP, Post Acute Care	54 ST. EMANUEL STREET, MOBILE AL 36602
Dawn M Severance	officer: SVP of TruBridge, Sales	54 ST. EMANUEL STREET, MOBILE AL 36602
Douglas John B Jr	director, officer: President and CEO	333 DALEWOOD DR., MOBILE AL 36608
Troy D Rosser	officer: Senior Vice President - Sales	COMPUTER PROGRAMS & SYSTEMS, INC., 6600 WALL STREET, MOBILE AL 36695
Matt J Chambless	officer: CFO, Secretary & Treasurer	6600 WALL STREET, MOBILE AL 36695