TaskUs (TaskUs) Predictability Rank

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What is TaskUs Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

TaskUs Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

TaskUs Predictability Rank Related Terms

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TaskUs (TaskUs) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » TaskUs Inc (NAS:TASK) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

6VY:Germany

Address

1650 Independence Drive, Suite 100, New Braunfels, TX, USA, 78132

Website

https://www.taskus.com

TaskUs Inc is a provider of outsourced digital services and next-generation customer experience to innovative and disruptive technology companies. It serves clients in the fastest-growing sectors, including social media, e-commerce, gaming, streaming media, food delivery and ridesharing, HiTech, FinTech and HealthTech.

Executives

Jacqueline D Reses	director	C/O SQUARE, INC., 1455 MARKET STREET #600, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Stephan Daoust	officer: Chief Operating Officer	C/O TASKUS, INC., 1650 INDEPENDENCE DRIVE, SUITE 100, NEW BRAUNFELS TX 78132
Kelly L Tuminelli	director	TRINET GROUP, INC., ONE PARK PLACE, STE 600, DUBLIN CA 94568
Jill A Greenthal	director	MARTHA STEWART LIVING OMNIMEDIA INC, 11 WEST 42ND STREET 25TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Rajnish Sinha	officer: Chief People Officer	C/O TASKUS, INC., 1650 INDEPENDENCE DRIVE, SUITE 100, NEW BRAUNFELS TX 78132
Michelle H Gonzalez	director	C/O TASKUS, INC., 1650 INDEPENDENCE DRIVE, SUITE 100, NEW BRAUNFELS TX 78132
Claudia F Walsh	officer: General Counsel	C/O TASKUS, INC., 1650 INDEPENDENCE DRIVE, SUITE 100, NEW BRAUNFELS TX 78132
Bcp Fc Aggregator L.p.	10 percent owner	C/O THE BLACKSTONE GROUP INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Jaspar Weir	director, 10 percent owner, officer: President	C/O TASKUS, INC., 1650 INDEPENDENCE DRIVE, SUITE 100, NEW BRAUNFELS TX 78132
Blackstone Holdings Iii L.p.	10 percent owner	C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Bryce Maddock	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O TASKUS, INC., 1650 INDEPENDENCE DRIVE, SUITE 100, NEW BRAUNFELS TX 78132
Susir Kumar	director	C/O TASKUS, INC., 1650 INDEPENDENCE DRIVE, SUITE 100, NEW BRAUNFELS TX 78132
Amit Dixit	director	C/O TASKUS, INC., 1650 INDEPENDENCE DRIVE, SUITE 100, NEW BRAUNFELS TX 78132
Jarrod Johnson	officer: Chief Customer Officer	C/O TASKUS, INC., 1650 INDEPENDENCE DRIVE, SUITE 100, NEW BRAUNFELS TX 78132
Steven Amaya	officer: See Remarks	C/O TASKUS, INC., 1650 INDEPENDENCE DRIVE, SUITE 100, NEW BRAUNFELS TX 78132