What is Syra Health Predictability Rank?
Not Rated
Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:
1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.
It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.
GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.
Syra Health Predictability Rank Calculation
In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.
Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:
Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.
The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.
Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns
| Predictables | Non-Predictable | All stocks |
|---|
| Total Number of stocks | 570 | 1833 | 2403 |
| Total Lost Money | 61 | 830 | 891 |
| Total Lost More Than 50% | 18 | 412 | 430 |
| Total Lost More Than 90% | 4 | 86 | 90 |
| Average Gain | 260.6% | 100.0% | 138.1% |
| Median Gain | 150.0% | 13.0% | 39.0% |
| Maximum Gain | 2852.0% | 11483.0% | 11483.0% |
| Maximum Loss | -100.0% | -100.0% | -100.0% |
| Annualized Average Gain | 12.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% |
| Annualized Median Gain | 8.9% | 1.1% | 3.1% |
For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.
| Predictability Rank | 5-Star | 4.5-Star | 4-Star | 3.5-Star | 3-Star | 2.5-Star | 2-Star | 1-Star (non-predictable) | Average among all |
|---|
| % Out of All 2403 Stocks |
3.3% |
2.9% |
3.7% |
3.3% |
3.3% |
3.7% |
3.3% |
76.3% |
100% |
| % that are in Loss (10y) |
3% |
10% |
8% |
9% |
11% |
18% |
16% |
45% |
37% |
| Average Gain (10y) |
364.6% |
330.9% |
278.0% |
235.1% |
243.5% |
227.8% |
154.8% |
100.0% |
138.1% |
| Median Gain (10y) |
238.5% |
193.5% |
171.0% |
159.0% |
132.5% |
113.5% |
87.0% |
13.0% |
39.0% |
| Maximum Gainer |
2228.0% |
2547.0% |
2452.0% |
2852.0% |
2432.0% |
1892.0% |
1807.0% |
11483.0% |
11483.0% |
| Maximum Loser |
-82.0% |
-53.0% |
-67.0% |
-100.0% |
-83.0% |
-100.0% |
-78.0% |
-100.0% |
-100.0% |
| Annualized Average Gain |
15.4% |
14.6% |
13.2% |
12.0% |
12.2% |
11.7% |
9.1% |
6.7% |
8.4% |
| Annualized Median Gain |
12.1% |
10.6% |
9.8% |
9.3% |
8.2% |
7.3% |
6.0% |
1.1% |
3.1% |
For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank
Also read:
Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety
Syra Health (Syra Health) Business Description
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1119 Keystone Way North, No. 201, Carmel, IN, USA, 46032
Syra Health Corp is a healthcare services company promoting preventative health, holistic wellness, health education, and equitable healthcare for all patient demographics. The company leverages deep scientific and healthcare expertise to create strategic frameworks and develop patient-centric solutions for the betterment of patient lives and health outcome linked to developing a healthier population. It strives to offer comprehensive end-to-end solutions in health education services, population health management, behavioral and mental health, healthcare workforce and digital health. The Company has two main forms of revenue - healthcare staffing revenue and medical communication revenue. The majority of revenue is derived from healthcare staffing.
Executives
| Sandeep Allam |
director, officer: President and Chair |
1119 KEYSTONE WAY N., #201, CARMEL IN 46032 |
| Feroz Syed |
10 percent owner |
1119 KEYSTONE WAY N., #201, CARMEL IN 46032 |
| Deepika Vuppalanchi |
director, officer: Chief Executive Officer |
1119 KEYSTONE WAY N., #201, CARMEL IN 46032 |
| Vijayapal Reddy |
director |
1119 KEYSTONE WAY N., #201, CARMEL IN 46032 |
| Avutu Reddy |
director |
1119 KEYSTONE WAY N., #201, CARMEL IN 46032 |
| Ketan Paranjape |
director |
1119 KEYSTONE WAY N., #201, CARMEL IN 46032 |
| Andrew Dahlem |
director |
1119 KEYSTONE WAY N., #201, CARMEL IN 46032 |
| Sherron Rogers |
director |
1119 KEYSTONE WAY N., #201, CARMEL IN 46032 |
| Joe D Thomas |
10 percent owner |
2046 EAST MURRAY-HOLIDAY ROAD, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84117 |
| Sls Group Llc |
10 percent owner |
6582 S BIG COTTONWOOD CANYON RD. #200, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84121 |
| Priya Prasad |
officer: CFO and COO |
1119 KEYSTONE WAY N., #201, CARMEL IN 46032 |
Quick Browse
Personalize
Premium Gurus 
Create New Portfolio
Portfolio Contest
SYRA has been successfully added to your