Sorrento Therapeutics (Sorrento Therapeutics) Predictability Rank

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What is Sorrento Therapeutics Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Sorrento Therapeutics Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Sorrento Therapeutics (Sorrento Therapeutics) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Sorrento Therapeutics Inc (OTCPK:SRNE) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

0L85:UK

Address

4955 Directors Place, San Diego, CA, USA, 92121

Website

https://www.sorrentotherapeutics.com

Sorrento Therapeutics Inc is a clinical and commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company developing a portfolio of next-generation treatments for three major therapeutic areas: cancer, infectious disease, and pain. Its multimodal, multipronged approach to fighting cancer is made possible by its extensive immuno-oncology platforms, including key assets such as fully human antibodies (G-MAB library), immuno-cellular therapies (DAR-T), antibody-drug conjugates (ADCs), and oncolytic virus (Seprehvec). Sorrento is also developing potential antiviral therapies and vaccines against coronaviruses, including COVI-AMG, COVIDROPS, COVISHIELD, FUJOVEE (Abivertinib), and OQORY (Covi-MSC), and diagnostic test solutions, including COVITRACK and COVIMARK.

Executives

Henry Ji	director, officer: See Remarks	5370 RUETTE DE MER, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
Tammy Reilly	director	C/O SORRENTO THERAPEUTICS, INC., 4955 DIRECTORS PLACE, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Kim Janda	director	6042 CORNERSTONE CT. WEST, SUITE B, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Elizabeth Czerepak	director	201 ROUTE 17 NORTH, RUTHERFORD NJ 07070
Dorman Followwill	director	C/O SORRENTO THERAPEUTICS, INC., 4955 DIRECTOR'S PLACE, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Najjam Asghar	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O SORRENTO THERAPEUTICS, INC., 4955 DIRECTORS PLACE, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Robin L Smith	director	C/O PHASE III MEDICAL, INC., 330 SOUTH SERVICE ROAD, SUITE 120, MELVILLE NY 11747
Edgar Lee	director	C/O OAKTREE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P., 333 SOUTH GRAND AVE, 28TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Jerome B Zeldis	officer: See Remarks	8767 E. VIA DE VENTURA, SUITE 190, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85258
Jaisim Shah	director	C/O PROTINE DESIGN LAB, 37481 MARSTEN DR, NEWARK CA 94560
Yue Alexander Wu	director	C/O SORRENTO THERAPEUTICS, INC., 9380 JUDICIAL DRIVE, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
David Lemus	director	C/O SORRENTO THERAPEUTICS, INC., 4955 DIRECTOR'S PLACE, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Abg Management Ltd	10 percent owner	UNIT 3002-04,30TH FLOOR,GLOUCESTER TOWER, THE LANDMARK,15 QUEEN'S ROAD CENTRAL, HONG KONG K3 000000
Jiong Shao	officer: Chief Financial Officer	SUITE 1003-1004, 10/F, ICBC TOWER, THREE GARDEN ROAD, CENTRAL, HONG KONG F4 000000
George K Ng	officer: See Remarks	C/O SORRENTO THERAPEUTICS, INC., 6042 CORNERSTONE COURT WEST, SUITE B, SAN DIEGO CA 92121