Squarespace (Squarespace) Predictability Rank

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What is Squarespace Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Squarespace Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Squarespace Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Squarespace (Squarespace) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Squarespace Inc (NYSE:SQSP) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

VRNS EEFT HCP ESMT BOX FIVN FLYW TDC STNE WIX MSFT ORCL ADBE PANW SNPS VMW FTNT CRWD PLTR SQ

Traded in Other Exchanges

S2QS34:Brazil

Address

225 Varick Street, 12th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10014

Website

https://www.squarespace.com

Squarespace is a provider of subscription-based website-building software and hosting services primarily servicing entrepreneurs and micro businesses. The company offers a range of add-on and standalone tools, including scheduling functionality, email marketing, member areas for paid content, and design tools for social media and video content. Following the 2021 acquisition of Tock, Squarespace has expanded into servicing hospitality customers with reservation, take-out, and event management software.

Executives

Anthony Casalena	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O SQUARESPACE, INC., 225 VARICK STREET, 12TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10014
Nathan Gooden	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O SQUARESPACE, INC., 225 VARICK STREET, 12TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10014
O'connor Courtenay	officer: General Counsel and Secretary	C/O SQUARESPACE, INC., 225 VARICK STREET, 12TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10014
General Atlantic (sqrs) Lp	director, 10 percent owner	55 EAST 52ND STREET, FLOOR 33, NEW YORK NY 10055
General Atlantic, L.p.	director, 10 percent owner	55 EAST 52ND STREET, 33RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10055
Paul Gubbay	officer: Chief Product Officer	C/O SQUARESPACE, INC., 225 VARICK STREET, 12TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10014
Jonathan D Klein	director	C/O GETTY IMAGES, INC., 601 N 34TH ST, SEATTLE WA 98103
Index Venture Growth Associates I Ltd	10 percent owner	5TH FLOOR, 44 ESPLANADE, ST HELIER, CHANNEL ISLANDS Y9 JE1 3FG
Index Ventures Growth I Parallel Entrepreneur Fund (jersey) L.p.	10 percent owner	NO.1 SEATON PLACE, ST. HELIER, JERSEY (CHANNEL ISLANDS) XX JE4 8YJ
Neela Montgomery	director	C/O LOGITECH INTERNATIONAL S.A., LES CHATAGNIS, APPLES V8 1143
Liza Landsman	director	1 CHOICE HOTELS CIRCLE, ROCKVILLE MD 20850
Anton J Levy	director	55 EAST 52ND STREET, 32ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10055
Index Ventures Growth I (jersey) L.p.	10 percent owner	NO.1 SEATON PLACE, ST. HELIER, JERSEY (CHANNEL ISLANDS) XX JE4 8YJ
(jersey) Slp Yucca	10 percent owner	NO. 1 SEATON PLACE, ST. HELIER Y9 Y9 JE48YJ
General Atlantic (spv) Gp, Llc	director, 10 percent owner	55 EAST 52ND STREET, 33RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10055