Sphere Entertainment Co (Sphere Entertainment Co) Predictability Rank

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What is Sphere Entertainment Co Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Sphere Entertainment Co Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Sphere Entertainment Co (Sphere Entertainment Co) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Communication Services » Media - Diversified » Sphere Entertainment Co (NYSE:SPHR) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

MQ2:Germany

Address

Two Penn Plaza, New York, NY, USA, 10121

Website

https://www.sphereentertainmentco.com

Sphere Entertainment Co is live entertainment and media company. The firm creates, writes, cast, produce, and tour shows and events. The company's portfolio includes Sphere, a next-generation entertainment medium to the world. The group has three reportable segments which include Entertainment, MSG Networks, and Tao Group Hospitality.

Executives

David Granville-smith	officer: Executive Vice President	TWO PENNSYLVANIA PLAZA, NEW YORK NY 10121
Gregory Brunner	officer: SVP, Controller & PAO	TWO PENNSYLVANIA PLAZA, NEW YORK NY 10121
Carl E Vogel	director	C/O SIRIUS XM RADIO INC., 1221 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10020
Gautam Ranji	officer: EVP, CFO & Treasurer	TWO PENNSYLVANIA PLAZA, NEW YORK NY 10121
Isiah Iii Thomas	director	TWO PENNSYLVANIA PLAZA, NEW YORK NY 10121
Philip Gerard D'ambrosio	officer: Interim CFO, Treasurer & Sec.	TWO PENNSYLVANIA PLAZA, NEW YORK NY 10121
Dolan Leinauer Corby	other: Trustee of 13(d) Group Member	BAKER BOTTS L.L.P., 30 ROCKEFELLER PLAZA, NEW YORK NY 10112
Zeppetella Courtney M	officer: SVP, Controller & CAO	TWO PENNSYLVANIA PLAZA, NEW YORK NY 10121
David F. Byrnes	officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer	C/O CBS CORPORATION, 51 WEST 52ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10019
Jamal H Haughton	officer: EVP & General Counsel	TWO PENNSYLVANIA PLAZA, NEW YORK NY 10121
Joseph F Yospe	officer: SVP, Controller & PAO	551 5TH AVENUE, SUITE 300, NEW YORK NY 10176
Andrea Greenberg	officer: President/CEO-MSG Networks	11 PENNSYLVANIA PLAZA, NEW YORK NY 10001
Joel M. Litvin	director	TWO PENNSYLVANIA PLAZA, NEW YORK NY 10011
Scott S Packman	officer: EVP & General Counsel	TWO PENNSYLVANIA PLAZA, NEW YORK NY 10121
Mark H Fitzpatrick	officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer	TWO PENNSYLVANIA PLAZA, NEW YORK NY 10121