Sensei Biotherapeutics (Sensei Biotherapeutics) Predictability Rank

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What is Sensei Biotherapeutics Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Sensei Biotherapeutics Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Sensei Biotherapeutics (Sensei Biotherapeutics) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Sensei Biotherapeutics Inc (NAS:SNSE) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

407:Germany 407:Germany

Address

1405 Research Boulevard, Suite 710, Boston, MA, USA, 02210

Website

https://www.senseibio.com

Sensei Biotherapeutics Inc is an immuno-oncology company focused on the discovery and development of next-generation therapeutics for cancer patients. The company currently has three investigational products. 1) SNS-101 is a conditionally active monoclonal antibody targeting the immune checkpoint VISTA (V-domain Ig suppressor of T-cell activation): 2) SNS-102 is a conditionally active monoclonal antibody targeting VSIG4 (V-Set and Immunoglobulin Domain Containing 4), an immune checkpoint often expressed on macrophages: 3) SNS-103 is a conditionally active monoclonal antibody targeting ENTPDase1 (ecto-nucleoside triphosphate diphosphohydrolase-1), also known as CD39.

Executives

Stephanie Krebs	officer: Chief Business Officer	C/O SENSEI BIOTHERAPEUTICS, INC., 1405 RESEARCH BLVD, SUITE 125, ROCKVILLE MD 20850
John Celebi	director, officer: President & CEO	SENSEI BIOTHERAPEUTICS, INC., 1405 RESEARCH BLVD., STE. 125, ROCKVILLE MD 20850
James Peyer	director, 10 percent owner	C/O SENSEI BIOTHERAPEUTICS, INC., 1405 RESEARCH BLVD., STE. 125, ROCKVILLE MD 20850
Cambrian Biopharma Inc	10 percent owner, other: See Remarks	228 PARK AVENUE S., #66643, NEW YORK NY 10003
Apeiron Investment Group Ltd.	10 percent owner	BLOCK A, APT.12, IL-PIAZZETTA, TOWER ROAD, SLIEMA O1 SLM1605
Presight Sensei Co-invest Fund, L.p.	other: See Explanation of Responses	340 S. LEMON AVE., # 3391, WALNUT CA 91789
Van Der Horst Edward	officer: Chief Scientific Officer	C/O SENSEI BIOTHERAPEUTICS, INC., 451 D STREET, SUITE 710, BOSTON MA 02210
Presight Co-invest Management, L.l.c.	10 percent owner	340 SOUTH LEMON AVENUE #3391, WALNUT CA 91789
Christian Angermayer	10 percent owner	BLOCK A, APT.12, IL-PIAZZETTA, TOWER ROAD, SLIEMA O1 SLM1605
Patrick Stephen Gallagher	officer: Chief Business Officer	66 HAROLD ST, BOSTON MA 02119
William R Ringo	director
Thomas G Ricks	director	H&S VENTURES LLC, 2101 EAST COAST HWY - 3RD FLOOR, CORONA DEL MAR CA 92625
Robert Hamilton Pierce	officer: Chief Scientific Officer	C/O SENSEI BIOTHERAPEUTICS, INC., 1405 RESEARCH DR.., STE. 125, ROCKVILLE MD 20850
Kristian Humer	director	C/O VIRIDIAN THERAPEUTICS, INC., 6200 LOOKOUT ROAD, BOULDER CO 80301
Jessie English	director	C/O SENSEI BIOTHERAPEUTICS, INC., 1405 RESEARCH DR., STE. 125, ROCKVILLE MD 20850