Templeton Globalome Fund (Templeton Globalome Fund) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to . Start your Free Trial

What is Templeton Globalome Fund Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Templeton Globalome Fund Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Templeton Globalome Fund Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Templeton Globalome Fund's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Templeton Globalome Fund (Templeton Globalome Fund) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Asset Management » Templeton Global Income Fund (NYSE:SABA) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

300 S.E. 2nd Street, Fort Lauderdale, FL, USA, 33301-1923

Website

https://www.franklintempleton.com

Templeton Global Income Fund is a closed-end fund. It seeks high current income, with a secondary goal of capital appreciation. Under normal market conditions. The Fund invests at least over 80% of its net assets in income-producing securities, including debt securities of the United States and foreign issuers, including emerging markets.

Executives

Saba Capital Management, L.p.	10 percent owner	405 LEXINGTON AVENUE, 58TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10174
Oliveira Marc De	officer: VP & Secretary	C/O LEGG MASON & CO. LLC, ONE FIRST STAMFORD PLACE, STAMFORD CT 06902
Boaz Weinstein	10 percent owner	405 LEXINGTON AVENUE, 58TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10174
Ted P Becker	officer: Chief Compliance Officer	399 PARK AVENUE, 4TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
George P. Hoyt	officer: VP & Secretary	C/O FRANKLIN TEMPLETON, 100 FIRST STAMFORD PLACE, STAMFORD CT 06902
Garry Khasidy	director	131 MUNSTER ROAD, LONDON X0 SW6 6DD
Mark Hammitt	director	8 THE GREEN, SUITE 10664, DOVER DE 19901
Karen Caldwell	director	10125 SOUTH BELL AVENUE, CHICAGO IL 60643
Ketu Desai	director	999 RIVERVIEW DR, SUITE 201, TOTOWA NJ 07512
Anatoly Nakum	director	52 EAST END AVENUE, APT. 18, NEW YORK NY 10028
Franklin Resources Inc	other: Affiliate of Investment Adv.	FRANKLIN RESOURCES INC, ONE FRANKLIN PARKWAY, SAN MATEO CA 94403
Christopher Kings	officer: CFO, CAO and Treasurer	ONE FRANKLIN PARKWAY, SAN MATEO CA 94403
Ryan Wheeler	officer: Interim CFO, CAO and Treasurer	300 S.E. 2ND STREET, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33301
Susan Kerr	officer: VP - AML Compliance	280 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017
Paul Charles Kazarian	director	C/O SABA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P., 405 LEXINGTON AVENUE, 58TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10174