root9B Holdings (root9B Holdings) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2007. Start your Free Trial

What is root9B Holdings Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

root9B Holdings Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

root9B Holdings Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of root9B Holdings's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

root9B Holdings (root9B Holdings) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » root9B Holdings Inc (OTCPK:RTNB) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

102 N Cascade Avenue, Suite 220, Colorado Springs, CO, USA, 28211

Website

http://www.root9bholdings.com

root9B Holdings Inc is a provider of cybersecurity and business advisory services in regulatory risk mitigation. It designs and provides cybersecurity operations and solutions, risk mitigation services, compilation with complex regulations, and leverageable and integrated technology. The company provides its services through Cyber Solutions and Business Advisory Solutions segments. Cyber Solutions segment provides cyber operations assessments, analysis, and testing, to cyber training, forensics, exploitation, and strategic defense planning. It earns all its revenue from both of its segments.

Executives

Grano Joseph J Jr	director, officer: CEO and Chairman	C/O MEDGENICS, INC., 435 DEVON PARK DRIVE BLDG 700, WAYNE PA 19087
William Hoke	officer: CFO	102 N. CASCADE AVENUE, SUITE 220, COLORADO SPRINGS CO 80919
Gregory C Morris	director	421 CRANBORNE CHASE, FORT MILL SC 29708
Seymour Siegel	director	91 CABOT COURT, HAUPPAUGE NY 11788
Isaac Blech	director, 10 percent owner	C/O INSPIREMD, INC., 321 COLUMBUS AVENUE, BOSTON MA 02116
Cary Sucoff	director	1612 EAST CAPE CORAL PKWY, C/O LEGACY EDUCATION ALLIANCE, INC., CAPE CORAL FL 33904
Wesley Clark	director	C/O ARGYLE SECURITY ACQUISITION CORP., 200 CONCORD PLAZA, SUITE 700, SAN ANTONIO TX 78216
River Charitable Remainder Unitrust F/b/o Isaac Blech	10 percent owner	75 ROCKEFELLER PLAZA, 29TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Miriam Blech	10 percent owner	75 ROCKEFELLER PLAZA, 29TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Joseph C. Grano	10 percent owner	1185 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, SUITE 1750, NEW YORK NY 10036
James M Orphanides	10 percent owner	633 THIRD AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017
Mark S Elliott	director, 10 percent owner, officer: President	C/O LEVEL BRANDS, INC., 4521 SHARON ROAD, SUITE 450, CHARLOTTE NC 28211
Richard C Siskey	10 percent owner	3545 SHARON ROAD, CHARLOTTE NC 28211
Robert L Frome	director, 10 percent owner, officer: President	3220 TILLMAN DRIVE SUITE 300, BENSALEM PA 19020

root9B Holdings (root9B Holdings) Headlines

No Headlines