Rigetti Computing (Rigetti Computing) Predictability Rank

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What is Rigetti Computing Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Rigetti Computing Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Rigetti Computing (Rigetti Computing) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » Rigetti Computing Inc (NAS:RGTI) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

775 Heinz Avenue, Berkeley, CA, USA, 94710

Website

https://www.rigetti.com

Rigetti Computing Inc is engaged in the business of full-stack quantum computing. Its proprietary quantum-classical infrastructure provides ultra-low latency integration with public and private clouds for high-performance practical quantum computing. The company has developed the industry's first multi-chip quantum processor for scalable quantum computing systems. Geographically, it derives a majority of its revenue from the United States.

Executives

Richard Danis	officer: General Counsel and Corp. Sec.	5808 LAKE WASHINGTON BLVD. NE, SUITE 300, KIRKLAND WA 98033
David Rivas	officer: SVP, Sys. and Serv. (Software)	C/O RIGETTI & CO., INC, 775 HEINZ AVENUE, BERKELEY CA 94701
Thomas J Iannotti	director	C/O APPLIED MATERIALS, INC., 3050 BOWERS AVENUE, P.O. BOX 58039, SANTA CLARA CA 95052-8039
Alissa Fitzgerald	director	C/O RIGETTI & CO., INC, 775 HEINZ AVENUE, BERKELEY CA 94710
Cathy L Mccarthy	director	1400 TOASTMASTER DRIVE, ELGIN IL 60120
Jeffrey A. Bertelsen	officer: Chief Financial Officer	5900 GOLDEN HILLS DRIVE, GOLDEN VALLEY MN 55416
Mike Harburn	officer: SVP, Fabrication Ops. Hardware	C/O RIGETTI & CO., INC, 775 HEINZ AVENUE, BERKELEY CA 94710
Chad Rigetti	director, officer: President and CEO	C/O RIGETTI & CO., INC, 775 HEINZ AVENUE, BERKELEY CA 94710
Brian J Sereda	officer: Chief Financial Officer	3590 NORTH FIRST STREET, SUITE 210, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Subodh K Kulkarni	officer: President and CEO	5900 GOLDEN HILLS DRIVE, GOLDEN VALLEY MN 55416
Supernova Partners Ii, Llc	other: Former 10% Owner	4301 50TH STREET, N.W., SUITE 300, PMB 1044, WASHINGTON DC 20007
Gregory John Peters	officer: Chief Revenue Officer	C/O RIGETTI COMPUTING, INC., 775 HEINZ AVENUE, BERKELEY CA 94710
Helene Gail Sandford	director	C/O RIGETTI & CO., INC., 775 HEINZ AVENUE, BERKELEY CA 94710
Amanda Sue Birch	officer: SVP, Technology Partnerships	C/O RIGETTI & CO., INC, 775 HEINZ AVENUE, BERKELEY CA 94710
Bessemer Venture Partners X L.p.	10 percent owner	1865 PALMER AVENUE, SUITE 104, LARCHMONT NY 10538