Petros Pharmaceuticals (Petros Pharmaceuticals) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2020. Start your Free Trial

What is Petros Pharmaceuticals Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Petros Pharmaceuticals Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Petros Pharmaceuticals Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Petros Pharmaceuticals's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Petros Pharmaceuticals (Petros Pharmaceuticals) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Drug Manufacturers » Petros Pharmaceuticals Inc (NAS:PTPI) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

1185 Avenue of the Americas, 3rd Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10036

Website

https://www.petrospharma.com

Petros Pharmaceuticals Inc is a men's health pharmaceutical company. It focuses on identifying, developing, acquiring, and commercializing innovative therapeutics for men's health issues including erectile dysfunction, peyronie's disease, hormone health and substance use disorders. The company's operating segment includes Prescription Medications and Medical Devices. It generates maximum revenue from the Medical Devices segment. The Prescription Medications segment consists primarily of operations related to Stendra, which is sold generally in the United States, and H100 for the treatment of Peyronie's disease.

Executives

Wayne Remell Walker	director	1515 MARKET STREET, SUITE 1720, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Greg Bradley	director	200 U.S. 9, SUITE 500, MANALAPAN TOWNSHIP NJ 07726
John D Shulman	director, 10 percent owner
Jcp Iii Sm Aiv, L.p.	10 percent owner	5301 WISCONSIN AVE NW, SUITE 570, WASHINGTON DC 20015
Juggernaut Partners Iii Gp, L.p.	10 percent owner	5301 WISCONSIN AVE NW, SUITE 570, WASHINGTON DC 20015
Juggernaut Partners Iii Gp, Ltd.	10 percent owner	5301 WISCONSIN AVE NW, SUITE 570, WASHINGTON DC 20015
Metp Holdings Llc	10 percent owner	5301 WISCONSIN AVE NW, SUITE 570, WASHINGTON DC 20015
Joshua Silverman	director	IROQUOIS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC, 205 EAST 42ND ST - 20TH FL., NEW YORK NY 10017
Bruce Bernstein	director	780 THIRD AVENUE, 12TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Keith Lavan	officer: Chief Financial Officer	200 U.S. 9, SUITE 500, MANALAPAN TOWNSHIP NJ 07726
Fady Boctor	officer: Pres. & Chief Comm. Officer	200 U.S. 9, SUITE 500, MANALAPAN TOWNSHIP NJ 07726
Andrew Gesek	officer: President, Timm Medical	200 U.S. 9, SUITE 500, MANALAPAN TOWNSHIP NJ 07726
Metuchen Therapeutics, Llc	10 percent owner	5301 WISCONSIN AVE NW, SUITE 570, WASHINGTON DC 20015
Mitchell Arnold	officer: Prin. Acct. Off/Prin. Fin. Off	200 ROUTE 9 NORTH, SUITE 500, MANALAPAN NJ 07726