Priority Technology Holdings (Priority Technology Holdings) Predictability Rank

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What is Priority Technology Holdings Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Priority Technology Holdings Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Priority Technology Holdings (Priority Technology Holdings) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Priority Technology Holdings Inc (NAS:PRTH) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

60W:Germany

Address

2001 Westside Parkway, Suite 155, Alpharetta, GA, USA, 30004

Website

http://www.prth.com

Priority Technology Holdings Inc is a provider of merchant acquiring and commercial payment solutions to small and medium businesses enterprises in the United States. The company has three reportable segments which are SMB Payments, B2B Payments and Enterprise Payments. SMB Payments segment which generates majority revenue provides full-service acquiring and payment-enabled solutions for B2C transactions, leveraging priority's proprietary software platform, distributed through ISO: B2B Payments segment provides AP automation solutions to corporations, software partners and industry FIs: and Enterprise Payments segment provides embedded payment and treasury solutions to enterprise customers to modernize legacy platforms and accelerate software partners' strategies to monetize payments.

Executives

Sean Kiewiet	officer: Chief Technology Officer	2001 WESTSIDE PARKWAY, SUITE 155, ALPHARETTA GA 30004
Stephen W Hipp	director	C/O PRIORITY TECHNOLOGY HOLDINGS, INC., 2001 WESTSIDE PARKWAY, SUITE 155, ALPHARETTA GA 30004
Thomas Charles Priore	director, 10 percent owner, officer: President, CEO and Chairman	2001 WESTSIDE PARKWAY, SUITE 155, ALPHARETTA GA 30004
Marc A Crisafulli	director	C/O GTECH HOLDINGS CORPORATION, 55 TECHNOLOGY WAY, WEST GREENWICH RI 02817
Tim O'leary	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O PRIORITY TECHNOLOGY HOLDINGS, INC., 2001 WESTSIDE PARKWAY, SUITE 155, ALPHARETTA GA 30004
Rajiv Kumar	officer: Chief Accounting Officer	C/O PRIORITY TECHNOLOGY HOLDINGS, INC., 2001 WESTSIDE PARKWAY, SUITE 155, ALPHARETTA GA 30004
David Faupel	officer: Chief Marketing Officer	C/O PRIORITY TECHNOLOGY HOLDINGS, INC., 2001 WESTSIDE PARKWAY, SUITE 155, ALPHARETTA GA 30004
Ranjana Ram	officer: Head of M&A Strategic Initiati	C/O PRIORITY TECHNOLOGY HOLDINGS, INC., 2001 WESTSIDE PARKWAY, ALPHARETTA GA 30004
Anthony Martin Bonventre	officer: EVP Operations	C/O PRIORITY TECHNOLOGY HOLDINGS, INC., 2001 WESTSIDE PARKWAY, SUITE 155, ALPHARETTA GA 30004
Marietta Davis	director	C/O SHARPSPRING, 550 SW 2ND AVENUE, GAINESVILLE FL 32601
Michael Passilla	director	2001 WESTSIDE PARKWAY, SUITE 155, ALPHARETTA GA 30004
Pamela A Tefft	officer: Corporate Controller and Chief	11720 AMBER PARK DRIVE, SUITE 600, ALPHARETTA GA 30004
Bradley J Miller	officer: General Counsel and CRO	C/O UNITED COMMUNITY BANKS, INC., P.O. BOX 398, BLAIRSVILLE GA 30514
Priority Incentive Equity Holdings, Llc	director, 10 percent owner, officer: President, CEO and Chairman	2001 WESTSIDE PARKWAY, SUITE 155, ALPHARETTA GA 30004
Priore 2019 Grat Thomas	10 percent owner	2001 WESTSIDE PARKWAY, SUITE 155, ALPHARETTA GA 30004