Presto Automation (Presto Automation) Predictability Rank

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What is Presto Automation Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Presto Automation Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Presto Automation Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Presto Automation (Presto Automation) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Presto Automation Inc (NAS:PRST) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

985 Industrial Road, San Carlos, CA, USA, 94070

Website

https://www.presto.com

Presto Automation Inc overlays next-gen digital solutions onto the physical world. It provides an accurate, next-gen solution that uses artificial intelligence to automate speech recognition for restaurant drive-thru. The Company earns substantially all of its revenue in the United States.

Executives

Keith E Kravcik	director	11840 VALLEY VIEW ROAD, EDEN PRAIRIE MN 55344
Dan Mosher	officer: Chief Revenue Officer	810 HAMILTON STREET, REDWOOD CITY CA 94063
Justin Foster	officer: Chief Revenue Officer	PRESTO AUTOMATION INC., 985 INDUSTRIAL ROAD, SAN CARLOS CA 94070
Cleveland Avenue Food & Beverage Fund Ii, Lp	10 percent owner	222 N. CANAL STREET, CHICAGO IL 60606
Nathan Cook	officer: Interim CFO	PRESTO AUTOMATION INC., 985 INDUSTRIAL ROAD, SAN CARLOS CA 94070
Xavier Casanova	officer: CHIEF OPERATING OFFICER	PRESTO AUTOMATION INC., 985 INDUSTRIAL ROAD, SAN CARLOS CA 94070
Rajat Suri	10 percent owner	525 MIDDLEFIELD ROAD, SUITE 250, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Stanley Mbugua	officer: Chief Accounting Officer	SKILLZ INC, PO BOX 455, SAN FRAN CA 94104
Scott David Raskin	director	QUOTIENT TECHNOLOGY INC., 1260 EAST STRINGHAM AVENUE, SUITE 600, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84106
Gail Zauder	director	122 EAST 82ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10028
Kim A Lopdrup	director	1000 DARDEN CENTER DRIVE, ORLANDO FL 32837
Jonas Grossman	director, 10 percent owner	17 STREET, SUITE 1600, NEW YORK NY 10004
Ashish Ram Gupta	officer: Chief Financial Officer	810 HAMILTON STREET, REDWOOD CITY CA 94063
William Robert Healey	officer: Chief Technology Officer	810 HAMILTON STREET, REDWOOD CITY CA 94063
Romulus Elc B3 Special Opportunity, L.p.	10 percent owner	307 HARVARD STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139