NeuroBo Pharmaceuticals (NeuroBo Pharmaceuticals) Predictability Rank

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What is NeuroBo Pharmaceuticals Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

NeuroBo Pharmaceuticals Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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NeuroBo Pharmaceuticals (NeuroBo Pharmaceuticals) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » NeuroBo Pharmaceuticals Inc (NAS:NRBO) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

200 Berkeley Street, Office 19th Floor, Boston, MA, USA, 02116

Website

https://www.neurobopharma.com

NeuroBo Pharmaceuticals Inc is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused primarily on developing and commercializing novel pharmaceuticals to treat cardiometabolic diseases. The company has two primary programs focused on the treatment of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), obesity, and type 2 diabetes (T2D): DA-1241 which is a novel G-Protein-Coupled Receptor 119 (GPR119) and DA-1726 which is a novel oxyntomodulin (OXM) analog. The company also has four legacy therapeutics programs designed to impact a range of indications in viral, neurodegenerative, and cardiometabolic diseases: ANA001, NB-01, NB-02, and Gemcabene.

Executives

James Patrick Tursi	director	106 ASHLEY COURT, MOORESTOWN NJ 08057
Marshall H Woodworth	officer: Acting Chief Financial Officer	C/O NEUROBO PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 545 CONCORD AVENUE, SUITE 210, CAMBRIDGE MA 02138
Mark A Glickman	director	C/O ESPERION THERAPEUTICS, INC., 3891 RANCHERO DRIVE, SUITE 150, ANN ARBOR MI 48108
Joseph Hooker	officer: Interim CEO and President	C/O NEUROBO PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 200 BERKELEY ST, OFFICE 19TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Goldman Sachs Group Inc	10 percent owner	200 WEST STREET, NEW YORK NY 10282
Goldman Sachs & Co. Llc	10 percent owner	200 WEST STREET, NEW YORK NY 10282
E&healthcare Investment Fund Ii	10 percent owner	16TH FLOOR, YEOKSAM I-TOWER, 326, TEHERAN-RO, GANGNAM-GU, SEOUL M5 06211
E&investment, Inc.	10 percent owner	16TH FLOOR, YEOKSAM I-TOWER, B/D 326, TEHERAN-RO, GANGNAM-GU, SEOUL M5 00000
Hyung Heon Kim	director	C/O DONG-A ST & DONG-A SOCIO GROUP, 64 CHEONHO DAERO, DONGDAEMUN-GU, SEOUL M5 00000
Andrew I Koven	director	3 COLUMBUS CIRCLE, SUITE 1710, C/O ARALEZ PHARMACEUTICALS INC., NEW YORK NY 10019
Na Yeon Kim	director, 10 percent owner	C/O NEUROBO PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 177 HUNTINGTON AVENUE, SUITE 1700, BOSTON MA 02115
Richard Kang	director	9451 SUNNYFIELD COURT, POTOMAC MD 20854
D Gordon Strickland	director	C/O AMPEX CORPORATION, 1228 DOUGLAS AVENUE, REDWOOD CITY CA 94063
Ben Gil Price	officer: CEO and President	8297 CHAMPIONS GATE BLVD. #444, CHAMPIONS GATE FL 33896
Akash Bakshi	director, officer: SVP and COO	602 BAINBRIDGE STREET, FOSTER CITY CA 94404