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Mondee Holdings (Mondee Holdings) Predictability Rank


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What is Mondee Holdings Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.


Mondee Holdings Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Mondee Holdings Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Mondee Holdings (Mondee Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
10800 Pecan Park Blvd., Suite 315, Austin, TX, USA, 78750
Mondee Holdings Inc is a travel technology company & marketplace with a portfolio of leisure & corporate travel sectors. It provides platform technologies, operating systems, & services that enable travel transactions to serve travelers directly or through travel affiliates. It has two segments Travel Marketplace & SAAS Platform. The Travel Marketplace segment (transactional business serving the end travelers directly or through travel affiliates) consists of selling airline tickets through the proprietary platform. The SAAS Platform segment offers corporate travel cost savings solutions through its technology platform. The majority is from the Travel Marketplace segment. Geographically, the key revenue is from the United States.
Executives
Jeff Clarke director COMPUTER ASSOCIATES INTERNATIONAL INC, ONE COMPUTER ASSOCIATES PLAZA, ISLANDA NY 11746
Prasad Gundumogula director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer 2213 VENETIAN SKY DRIVE, LEANDER TX 78641
Stanley Morgan 10 percent owner 1585 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10036
Orestes Fintiklis director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer 555 MADISON AVENUE, SUITE 11A, NEW YORK NY 10002
Venkat Pasupuleti officer: Chief Technology Officer 2856 CHRONICLE AVENUE, HAYWARD CA 94542
Meredith Waters officer: General Counsel 2616 MARIA ANNA RD., AUSTIN TX 78703
Jesus Portillo officer: Chief Financial Officer 10800 PECAN PARK BLVD, SUITE 315, AUSTIN TX 78750
Madhuri Pasam other: Spouse of 10% Owner 2213 VENETIAN SKY DR, LEANDER TX 78641
Jeffrey David Young 10 percent owner 191 NORTH WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 2350, CHICAGO IL 60606
Origami Capital Partners Llc 10 percent owner 191 NORTH WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 2350, CHICAGO IL 60606
Fly Ocp Llc 10 percent owner 191 NORTH WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 2350, CHICAGO IL 60606
Mondee Holdings, Llc 10 percent owner 2000 ALAMEDA DE LAS PULGAS, SUITE 125, SAN MATEO CA 94403
Noor Sweid director 17 STATE STREET, 21ST FLOOR, NEW YORK CA 10004
Roopa Purushothaman director ASHOK TOWERS, DWING, 003/004 DR B AMBEDKAR MARG PAREL, MUMBAI K7 400012
James Dullum officer: Chief Operating Officer 8800 SOUTH TROPICAL TRAIL, MERRITT ISLAND FL 32952