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Mining Global (Mining Global) Predictability Rank


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What is Mining Global Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Mining Global Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Mining Global Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Mining Global (Mining Global) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Basic Materials » Metals & Mining » Mining Global Inc (OTCPK:MNGG) » Definitions » Predictability Rank
Comparable Companies
STAL BMXI NSAUF GKIN IMII OSCI SHSE:601899 NEM TSX:ABX TSX:FNV TSX:AEM TSX:WPM MIC:PLZL SHSE:600547 ASX:NCM JSE:GFI ASX:NST AU SHSE:600489 RGLD
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
500 S Australian Avenue, Suite 600, West Palm Beach, FL, USA, 33401
Website
https://www.mnggotc.com
Mining Global Inc is primarily engaged in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral properties. The company focuses on mineral deposits of lead, zinc, copper, silver, gold or uranium capable of commercial extraction.
Executives
Gregory K Clements director, officer: Chief Financial Officer 240 MARTIN ST. #3, BLAINE WA 98230
Cedric N Atkinson director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer 240 MARTIN ST. #3, BLAINE WA 98230
Oxygen Management Group, Ltd. 10 percent owner 240 MARTIN STREET, SUITE 3, BLAINE WA 98230
Lindsay Edward Gorrill director 611 E. SHERMAN AVE., COEUR D'ALENE ID 83814
David K Ryan officer: Vice-President of Finance P.O. BOX 61605, BROOKSWOOD RPO, LANGLEY A1 V3A 8C8
Jarrett F Bousquet director, 10 percent owner, officer: President,Secretary&Treasurer 240 MARTIN STREET, #3, BLAINE WA 98230
Shane Epp officer: Executive Vice President 2154 WEST 45TH AVENUE, VANCOUVER A1 V6M 2J1

Mining Global (Mining Global) Headlines

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