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Mirion Technologies (Mirion Technologies) Predictability Rank


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What is Mirion Technologies Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.


Mirion Technologies Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Mirion Technologies Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Mirion Technologies (Mirion Technologies) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1218 Menlo Drive, Atlanta, GA, USA, 30318
Mirion Technologies Inc provides products, services, and software that allows customers to safely leverage the power of ionizing radiation for the greater good of humanity through critical applications in the medical, nuclear, defense markets, as well as laboratories, scientific research, analysis and exploration. The Company manages its operations through two segments: Medical and Industrial. The Medical segment provides radiation oncology quality assurance, delivering patient safety solutions for diagnostic imaging and radiation therapy centers. The Industrial segment provides robust, field ready personal radiation detection and identification equipment for defense applications and radiation detection and analysis tools for power plants, labs, and research applications.
Executives
Christopher A. Moore officer: Chief Accounting Officer (PAO) C/O MIRION TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 1218 MENLO DRIVE, ATLANTA GA 30318
Loic Eloy officer: Industrial Group President 1218 MENLO DRIVE, ATLANTA GA 30318
Gsam Holdings Llc director, 10 percent owner 200 WEST STREET, NEW YORK NY 10282
Michael J Rossi officer: Medical Group President 230 PARK AVENUE, SUITE 3350, NEW YORK NY 10169
Sheila Rege director 1218 MENLO DRIVE, ATLANTA GA 30318
Jody Markopoulos director 3641 WOODBOURNE LANE, CROZET VA 22932
Ccp Ix Lp No. 1 10 percent owner 76 BUCKINGHAM PALACE ROAD, 6TH FLOOR, BELGRAVE HOUSE, LONDON X0 SW1W 9TQ
Ccp Ix Lp No. 2 10 percent owner 76 BUCKINGHAM PALACE ROAD, 6TH FLOOR, BELGRAVE HOUSE, LONDON X0 SW1W 9TQ
Ccp Ix Co-investment Lp 10 percent owner 76 BUCKINGHAM PALACE ROAD, 6TH FLOOR, BELGRAVE HOUSE, LONDON X0 SW1W 9TQ
Ccp Ix Co-investment No. 2 Lp 10 percent owner 76 BUCKINGHAM PALACE ROAD, 6TH FLOOR, BELGRAVE HOUSE, LONDON X0 SW1W 9TQ
Charterhouse General Partners (ix) Ltd 10 percent owner 76 BUCKINGHAM PALACE ROAD, 6TH FLOOR, BELGRAVE HOUSE, LONDON X0 SW1W 9TQ
Kipling Matas officer: Chief Accounting Officer MIRION TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 1218 MENLO DRIVE, ATLANTA GA 30318
Christopher L Warren director MIRION TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 1218 MENLO DRIVE, ATLANTA GA 30318
Brian Schopfer officer: Chief Financial Officer MIRION TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 1218 MENLO DRIVE, ATLANTA GA 30318
Michael Freed officer: Chief Operating Officer MIRION TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 1218 MENLO DRIVE, ATLANTA GA 30318