What is Mobile Mini Predictability Rank?
Not Rated
Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:
1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.
It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.
GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.
Mobile Mini Predictability Rank Calculation
In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.
Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:
Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.
The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.
Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns
| Predictables | Non-Predictable | All stocks |
|---|
| Total Number of stocks | 570 | 1833 | 2403 |
| Total Lost Money | 61 | 830 | 891 |
| Total Lost More Than 50% | 18 | 412 | 430 |
| Total Lost More Than 90% | 4 | 86 | 90 |
| Average Gain | 260.6% | 100.0% | 138.1% |
| Median Gain | 150.0% | 13.0% | 39.0% |
| Maximum Gain | 2852.0% | 11483.0% | 11483.0% |
| Maximum Loss | -100.0% | -100.0% | -100.0% |
| Annualized Average Gain | 12.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% |
| Annualized Median Gain | 8.9% | 1.1% | 3.1% |
For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.
| Predictability Rank | 5-Star | 4.5-Star | 4-Star | 3.5-Star | 3-Star | 2.5-Star | 2-Star | 1-Star (non-predictable) | Average among all |
|---|
| % Out of All 2403 Stocks |
3.3% |
2.9% |
3.7% |
3.3% |
3.3% |
3.7% |
3.3% |
76.3% |
100% |
| % that are in Loss (10y) |
3% |
10% |
8% |
9% |
11% |
18% |
16% |
45% |
37% |
| Average Gain (10y) |
364.6% |
330.9% |
278.0% |
235.1% |
243.5% |
227.8% |
154.8% |
100.0% |
138.1% |
| Median Gain (10y) |
238.5% |
193.5% |
171.0% |
159.0% |
132.5% |
113.5% |
87.0% |
13.0% |
39.0% |
| Maximum Gainer |
2228.0% |
2547.0% |
2452.0% |
2852.0% |
2432.0% |
1892.0% |
1807.0% |
11483.0% |
11483.0% |
| Maximum Loser |
-82.0% |
-53.0% |
-67.0% |
-100.0% |
-83.0% |
-100.0% |
-78.0% |
-100.0% |
-100.0% |
| Annualized Average Gain |
15.4% |
14.6% |
13.2% |
12.0% |
12.2% |
11.7% |
9.1% |
6.7% |
8.4% |
| Annualized Median Gain |
12.1% |
10.6% |
9.8% |
9.3% |
8.2% |
7.3% |
6.0% |
1.1% |
3.1% |
For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank
Also read:
Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety
Mobile Mini (Mobile Mini) Business Description
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
4646 East Van Buren Street, Suite 400, Phoenix, AZ, USA, 85008
Mobile Mini Inc manufactures, rents, and sells portable storage containers. It generates the vast majority of its revenue from the rental of storage containers. The company's products are organized into two primary categories. Portable storage containers are dropped off at a customers' location by Mobile Mini and used by businesses in the retail, manufacturing, and construction industries. Tank and Pump Solutions consists of liquid and solid containers, as well as pumps and filtration equipment used by companies in the chemicals manufacturing, refining, mining, and the oil and gas industries. The company organizes itself into three segments based on geography: North America, United Kingdom, and Tank and Pump Solutions. The majority of revenue comes from the North America segment.
Executives
| Kelly M Williams |
officer: President & C.E.O. |
7420 S. KYRENE ROAD, SUITE 101, TEMPE AZ 85283 |
| Michael W Upchurch |
director |
KANSAS CITY SOUTHERN, PO BOX 219335, KANSAS CITY MO 64121 |
| Jeffrey S Goble |
director |
10617 NORTH HAYDEN ROAD SUITE 100, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85260 |
| Christopher J Miner |
officer: Senior VP & General Counsel |
7420 SOUTH KYRENE ROAD SUITE 101, TEMPE AZ 85253 |
| Erik Olsson |
director |
C/O RSC HOLDINGS INC., 6929 E. GREENWAY PARKWAY, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85254 |
| Kimberly J Mcwaters |
director |
20410 NORTH 19TH AVENUE, PHOENIX AZ 85027 |
| Mark W Krivoruchka |
officer: S.V.P. and Chief H.R. Officer |
RSC HOLDINGS INC. 6929 EAST GREENWAY PARKWAY, SUITE 200 SCOTTSDALE AZ 85254 |
| James J Martell |
director |
314 RINGLING POINT DRIVE, SARASOTA FL 34234 |
| Sara R. Dial |
director |
3300 W. CAMELBACK ROAD, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85017 |
| Stephen A Mcconnell |
director |
6700 EAST SOLANO DRIVE, PARADISE VALLEY AZ 85253 |
| Sanjay Swani |
director |
320 PARK AVENUE STE 2500, NEW YORK NY 10022 |
| Philip Hobson |
officer: Executive V.P., Operations |
C/O RSC HOLDINGS INC., 6929 E. GREENWAY PARKWAY, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85254 |
| Thomas Scully |
10 percent owner |
320 PARK AVENUE, SUITE # 2500, NEW YORK NM 10022 |
| Wcas Management Corp |
10 percent owner |
599 LEXINGTON AVENUE, SUITE 1800, NEW YORK NY 10022 |
| Anthony F Ecock |
10 percent owner |
C/O ICAD INC, 98 SPIT BROOK ROAD SUITE 100, NASHUA NH 03062 |
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