Loop Media (Loop Media) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2015. Start your Free Trial

What is Loop Media Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Loop Media Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Loop Media Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Loop Media's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Loop Media (Loop Media) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Communication Services » Media - Diversified » Loop Media Inc (AMEX:LPTV) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

2600 West Olive Avenue, Suite 5470, Burbank, CA, USA, 91505

Website

https://www.loop.tv

Loop Media Inc is a multichannel digital video platform media company that uses marketing technology. The company is focused on premium short-form video. It offers music videos and film, game, and TV trailers which can be viewed in hospitality, dining, and retail venues, on branded media and entertainment sites, and on over-the-top TV platforms and IPTV devices.

Executives

Excel Family Partners Lllp	10 percent owner	700 N CENTRAL AVENUE, SUITE 430, GLENDALE CA 91203
Jon Maxwell Niermann Living Trust	10 percent owner	700 N CENTRAL AVENUE, SUITE 430, GLENDALE CA 91203
Cassidy Bruce A. Sr.	director, 10 percent owner	C/O LOOP MEDIA, 700 N CENTRAL AVENUE, SUITE 430, GLENDALE CA 91203
David Saint-fleur	director	C/O LOOP MEDIA, 700 N CENTRAL AVENUE, SUITE 430, GLENDALE CA 91203
Denise M. Penz	director	C/O LOOP MEDIA, INC., 700 N. CENTRAL AVE., SUITE 430, GLENDALE CA 91203
Bruce A. Cassidy 2013 Irrevocable Trust	10 percent owner	8060 COW CAMP LANE, SARASOTA FL 34240
Bob Gruters	officer: Chief Revenue Officer	C/O LOOP MEDIA, 700 N CENTRAL AVENUE, SUITE 430, GLENDALE CA 91203
Andy Schuon	officer: Head of Loop Studios	C/O LOOP MEDIA, 700 N CENTRAL AVENUE, SUITE 430, GLENDALE CA 91203
Sonya Zilka	director	C/O LOOP MEDIA, 700 N CENTRAL AVENUE, SUITE 430, GLENDALE CA 91203
Neil T Watanabe	officer: Chief Financial Officer	13245 RIVERSIDE DRIVE, SUITE 450, SHERMAN OAKS CA 91423
Liam Mccallum	officer: Chief Product and Tech Officer	C/O LOOP MEDIA, 700 N CENTRAL AVENUE, SUITE 430, GLENDALE CA 91203
Cerna James J Jr	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O LOOP MEDIA, 700 N CENTRAL AVENUE, SUITE 430, GLENDALE CA 91203
Jon M Niermann	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O LOOP MEDIA, 700 N CENTRAL AVENUE, SUITE 430, GLENDALE CA 91203
Pioneer Productions Llc	10 percent owner	C/O LOOP MEDIA, 700 N CENTRAL AVENUE, SUITE 430, GLENDALE CA 91203
Running Wind Llc	10 percent owner	1879 HAZELTON DRIVE, GERMANTOWN TN 38138