LifeMD (LifeMD) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2020. Start your Free Trial

What is LifeMD Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

LifeMD Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

LifeMD Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of LifeMD's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

LifeMD (LifeMD) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Healthcare Providers & Services » LifeMD Inc (NAS:LFMD) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

236 Fifth Avenue, Suite 400, Fourth Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10001

Website

https://www.lifemd.com

LifeMD Inc is a direct-to-patient telehealth company that provides a smarter, cost-effective, and more convenient way of accessing comprehensive, virtual healthcare. Its telehealth platform seamlessly integrates a clinician-centric electronic medical record (EMR) system, proprietary algorithms for case-load balancing and scheduling, customer relationship management functionality, remote and in-home lab testing, and digital prescription capabilities, patient-provider audio/video interfacing, cloud pharmacy fulfillment, and more. In addition to telehealth offerings, the company sells nutritional supplements and other over-the-counter products. The company has two operating segments: Telehealth and WorkSimpli. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the Telehealth segment.

Executives

Bertrand Velge	director	BARNHOUSE FARM, BARNHOUSE LANE BROOKLAND, ROMNEY MARSH, KENT X0 TN299TR
William J Febbo	director, other: Consultant	600 CALIFORNIA ST., 9TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94108
Nicholas P Alvarez	officer: Chief Acquisition Officer	C/O LIFEMD, INC., 236 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 400, NEW YORK NY 10001
Eric Harold Yecies	officer: CCO and General Counsel	C/O LIFEMD, INC., 236 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 400, NEW YORK NY 10001
Brad Michael Roberts	officer: Chief Operating Officer	300 CHAFFORD COURT, SIMPSONVILLE SC 29681
Justin Schreiber	director, 10 percent owner, officer: President, Immudyne PR	236 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 400, NEW YORK NY 10001
Stefan Galluppi	director, officer: Chief Operating Officer	C/O LIFEMD, INC, 236 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 400, NEW YORK NY 10001
Joan Larovere	director	C/O LIFEMD, 236 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 400, NEW YORK NY 10001
Jessica Friedeman	officer: Chief Marketing Officer	C/O LIFEMD, 236 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 400, NEW YORK NY 10001
Kathleen E Walsh	director	C/O LIFEMD, INC., 236 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 400, NEW YORK NY 10001
Piyush Jindal	director	C/O LIFEMD, INC., 236 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 400, NEW YORK NY 10001
Joseph Ditrolio	director	C/O LIFEMD, INC., 236 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 400, NEW YORK NY 10001
Maria E. Stan	officer: Principal Accounting Officer	236 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 400, NEW YORK NY 10001
Dennis Wijnker	officer: Chief Technology Officer	536 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 400, NEW YORK NY 10001
Naveen Bhatia	director	823 GREENTREE RD, PACIFIC PALISADES CA 90272