Intapp (Intapp) Predictability Rank

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What is Intapp Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Intapp Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Intapp (Intapp) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Intapp Inc (NAS:INTA) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

3101 Park Boulevard, Palo Alto, CA, USA, 94306

Website

https://www.intapp.com

Intapp Inc is a provider of industry-specific, cloud-based software solutions for the professional and financial services industry. It empowers private capital, investment banking, legal, accounting, and consulting firms with the technology they need to meet rapidly changing client, investor, and regulatory requirements. Geographically, it derives a majority of its revenue from the United States and also has a presence in United Kingdom and the Rest of the world.

Executives

Donald F. Coleman	officer: Chief Operating Officer	C/O INTAPP, INC., 3101 PARK BLVD, PALO ALTO CA 94306
Thad Jampol	officer: Chief Product Officer	INTAPP, INC., 3101 PARK BLVD, PALO ALTO CA 94306
Scott Fitzgerald	officer: Chief Marketing Officer	C/O DUCK CREEK TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 22 BOSTON WHARF ROAD, FLOOR 10, BOSTON MA 02210
John T Hall	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer	1380 BORDEAUX DRIVE, SUNNYVALE CA 94089
Kalyani Tandon	officer: Chief Accounting Officer	C/O INTAPP, INC., 3101 PARK BLVD, PALO ALTO CA 94306
Michele Murgel	officer: Chief People & Places Officer	INTAPP, INC., 3101 PARK BLVD, PALO ALTO CA 94306
Temasek Holdings (private) Ltd	10 percent owner	60B ORCHARD ROAD #06-18 TOWER 2, THE ATRIUM@ORCHARD, SINGAPORE U0 238891
Great Hill Equity Partners Iv Lp	10 percent owner	C/O GREAT HILL PARTNERS, L.P., 200 CLARENDON STREET, 29TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
George R Neble	director	210 BROADWAY, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Morton David H Jr	officer: Chief Financial Officer	SEAGATE TECHNOLOGY, 920 DISC DRIVE, SCOTTS VALLEY CA 95066
Stephen I. Robertson	officer: Chief Financial Officer	INTAPP, INC., 3101 PARK BLVD, PALO ALTO CA 94306
Ralph Baxter	director	INTAPP, INC., 3101 PARK BLVD, PALO ALTO CA 94306
Charles E Moran	director	2300 WINDY RIDGE PARKWAY, 10TH FLOOR, ATLANTA GA 30339
Martin Fichtner	director	101 CALIFORNIA STREET, SUITE 3700, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Beverly Allen	director	INTAPP, INC., 3101 PARK BLVD, PALO ALTO CA 94306