What is Integrated Media Technology Predictability Rank?
Not Rated
Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:
1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.
It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.
GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.
Integrated Media Technology Predictability Rank Calculation
In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.
Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:
Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.
The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.
Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns
| Predictables | Non-Predictable | All stocks |
|---|
| Total Number of stocks | 570 | 1833 | 2403 |
| Total Lost Money | 61 | 830 | 891 |
| Total Lost More Than 50% | 18 | 412 | 430 |
| Total Lost More Than 90% | 4 | 86 | 90 |
| Average Gain | 260.6% | 100.0% | 138.1% |
| Median Gain | 150.0% | 13.0% | 39.0% |
| Maximum Gain | 2852.0% | 11483.0% | 11483.0% |
| Maximum Loss | -100.0% | -100.0% | -100.0% |
| Annualized Average Gain | 12.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% |
| Annualized Median Gain | 8.9% | 1.1% | 3.1% |
For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.
| Predictability Rank | 5-Star | 4.5-Star | 4-Star | 3.5-Star | 3-Star | 2.5-Star | 2-Star | 1-Star (non-predictable) | Average among all |
|---|
| % Out of All 2403 Stocks |
3.3% |
2.9% |
3.7% |
3.3% |
3.3% |
3.7% |
3.3% |
76.3% |
100% |
| % that are in Loss (10y) |
3% |
10% |
8% |
9% |
11% |
18% |
16% |
45% |
37% |
| Average Gain (10y) |
364.6% |
330.9% |
278.0% |
235.1% |
243.5% |
227.8% |
154.8% |
100.0% |
138.1% |
| Median Gain (10y) |
238.5% |
193.5% |
171.0% |
159.0% |
132.5% |
113.5% |
87.0% |
13.0% |
39.0% |
| Maximum Gainer |
2228.0% |
2547.0% |
2452.0% |
2852.0% |
2432.0% |
1892.0% |
1807.0% |
11483.0% |
11483.0% |
| Maximum Loser |
-82.0% |
-53.0% |
-67.0% |
-100.0% |
-83.0% |
-100.0% |
-78.0% |
-100.0% |
-100.0% |
| Annualized Average Gain |
15.4% |
14.6% |
13.2% |
12.0% |
12.2% |
11.7% |
9.1% |
6.7% |
8.4% |
| Annualized Median Gain |
12.1% |
10.6% |
9.8% |
9.3% |
8.2% |
7.3% |
6.0% |
1.1% |
3.1% |
For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank
Also read:
Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety
Integrated Media Technology (Integrated Media Technology) Business Description
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Jalan Pensyarah U1/28, Suite A, Unit 5, Level 3, Lot 4, Glen 9 Business Park, Hicom Glenmarie Industrial Par, Shah Alam, SGR, MYS, 40150
Integrated Media Technology Ltd is engaged in the development, sale, and distribution of autostereoscopic 3D display, 3D conversion equipment, and software, development, and sale of 3D autostereoscopic technology, and the provision of 3D consultancy services. It operates through the following segments: the development, sale and distribution of autostereoscopic 3D displays, conversion equipment, software and technology solutions, and others, Sales of air-filter products, provision of consultancy services, and Sales of Halal products.
Executives
| Marvel Finance Ltd |
10 percent owner |
7/F., SIU ON CENTER., 188 LOCKHART ROAD,, WAN CHAI K3 00000 |
| Lee Ying Chiu Herbert |
director, 10 percent owner, officer: President and CEO |
15/F., SIU ON CENTRE, 188 LOCKHART ROAD, WANCHAI K3 0000 |
| Nextglass Technologies Corp. |
10 percent owner |
9454 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, SUITE 612, BEVERLY HILLES CA 90210 |
| Jeonggeun Kim |
10 percent owner |
101-1402HO, SOSABEOL PURUGIO APT, 970 VISION-DONG, PYEONGTAEK-SI M5 17847 |
| Cimb Ltd |
10 percent owner |
SUITE1814, 18/F FO TAN INDUSTRIAL CENTER, 26-28 AU PUI WAN STREET, FOTAN, NT K3 00000 |
| Heming Cui |
director |
13/F, TOWER 2, BELCHER, NO. 89 POK FU LAM ROAD, HONG KONG K3 00000 |
| Ho Cecil Te Hwai |
officer: CFO & Company Secretary |
7/F, SIU ON CENTRE, 188 LOCKHART ROAD, WANCHAI K3 00000 |
| Lawrence Chen |
director |
UNIT 10, 18 JESSIE STREET, WESTMEAD SYDNEY C3 2145 |
| Michael Wuhua Zhang |
director |
7/F, SIU ON CENTER, 188 LOCKHART ROAD, WANCHAI K3 00000 |
| Unerkov Con |
director |
PO BOX 1171, NORTH ADELAIDE SA C3 5006 |
| George Yatzis |
officer: Company Secretary |
GPO BOX 2018, ADELAIDE C3 5001 |
| Chang Yuen Chan |
director |
7/F., SIU ON CENTER,, 188 LOCKHART ROAD,, WAN CHAI K3 00000 |
| Ingram Wilton Timothy Carr |
director |
7/F., SIU ON CENTER,, 188 LOCKHART ROAD,, WAN CHAI K3 00000 |
| Man Chung Chan |
director |
ROOM 2404, KING YAN HOUSE, KING NGA COURT, TAIPO K3 00000 |
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