Immunome (Immunome) Predictability Rank

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What is Immunome Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Immunome Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Immunome Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Immunome (Immunome) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Immunome Inc (NAS:IMNM) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

665 Stockton Drive, Suite 300, Exton, PA, USA, 19341

Website

https://www.immunome.com

Immunome Inc is a biopharmaceutical company. It is engaged in utilizing a proprietary human memory B cell platform to discover and develop first-in-class antibody therapeutics designed to change the way diseases are currently being treated. The company's primary focus areas are oncology and infectious disease, including COVID-19. It primarily operates in the U.S. Its current programs comprise Oncology (IMM-ONC-01), SARS-CoV-2 (IMM-BCP-01), and IMM20059 Anti-EPN1.

Executives

Jean Jacques Bienaime	director	925 PAGE MILL ROAD, PALO ALTO CA 94304
Robert Lechleider	officer: Chief Medical Officer	C/O IMMUNOME, INC., 665 STOCKTON DRIVE, SUITE 300 PA 19341
Max Rosett	officer: SVP Operations	C/O MORPHIMMUNE INC., 101 FOUNDRY DRIVE, SUITE 1200, WEST LAFAYETTE IN 47906
Clay B Siegall	director, officer: President and CEO	21823 30TH DR SE, BOTHELL WA 98021
Jack Higgins	officer: Chief Scientific Officer	C/O MORPHIMMUNE INC., 101 FOUNDRY DRIVE, SUITE 1200, WEST LAFAYETTE IN 47906
Isaac Barchas	director, other: See remarks	1601 BRYAN STREET, SUITE 4141, DALLAS TX 75201
Bruce Turner	officer: Chief Strategy Officer	C/O MORPHIMMUNE INC., 101 FOUNDRY DRIVE, SUITE 1200, WEST LAFAYETTE IN 47906
James P Boylan	director	C/O ENAVATE SCIENCES, 2884 SAND HILL RD., STE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Matthew K Robinson	officer: Chief Technology Officer	C/O IMMUNOME, INC., 665 STOCKTON DRIVE SUITE 300, EXTON PA 19341
Michael Rapp	director, 10 percent owner	712 FIFTH AVENUE, 49TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Franklyn G Prendergast	director
Michael Lefenfeld	director	IMMUNOME, INC., 665 STOCKTON DRIVE, SUITE 300, EXTON PA 19341
Purnanand D Sarma	director, officer: President and CEO	IMMUNOME, INC., 665 STOCKTON DRIVE, SUITE 300, EXTON PA 19341
John L Lamattina	director	81 WYMAN ST, POST OFFICE BOX 9046, WALTHAM MA 02454
Philip Wagenheim	director	712 FIFTH AVENUE, 49TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019