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Infint Acquisition (Infint Acquisition) Predictability Rank


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What is Infint Acquisition Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.


Infint Acquisition Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Infint Acquisition Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Infint Acquisition (Infint Acquisition) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
32 Broadway, Suite 401, New York, NY, USA, 10004
Infint Acquisition Corp is a blank check company.
Executives
Wolverine Asset Management Llc 10 percent owner 175 WEST JACKSON, SUITE 340, CHICAGO IL 60604
Taconic Capital Advisors Lp 10 percent owner 280 PARK AVENUE, 5TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Frank Brosens 10 percent owner C/O TACONIC CAPITAL ADVISORS LP, 280 PARK AVENUE, 5TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Taconic Capital Advisors Uk Llp 10 percent owner 55 GROSVENOR STREET, 4TH FLOOR, LONDON X0 W1K 3HY
Andrey Novikov director 19355 BUSINESS CENTER DRIVE , #9, NORTHRIDG CA 91324
Kevin Chen director 7612 MAIN STREET FISHERS, SUITE 200, VICTOR NY 14564
Sheldon Brickman officer: Chief Financial Officer 1452 EAST 21ST STREET, BROOKLYN NY 11210
Jing Huang director 47 JAMES RD, MT KISCO NY 10549
Michael Moradzadeh director 800 OAK GROVE AVENUE, SUITE 250, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Alexander Edgarov director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer 32 BROADWAY, SUITE 401, NEW YORK NY 10004
Dave Cameron director 3738 FLORAMAR TERRACE, NEW PORT RICHEY FL 34652
Infint Capital Llc 10 percent owner 32 BROADWAY, SUITE 401, NEW YORK NY 10004
Eric David Weinstein director 7 PINEWOOD CIRCLE, WHITE PLAINS NY 10603