Hyzon Motors (Hyzon Motors) Predictability Rank

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What is Hyzon Motors Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Hyzon Motors Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Hyzon Motors (Hyzon Motors) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Vehicles & Parts » Hyzon Motors Inc (NAS:HYZN) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

475 Quaker Meeting House Road, Honeoye Falls, New York, NY, USA, 14472

Website

https://www.hyzonmotors.com

Hyzon Motors Inc assembles and supplies hydrogen fuel cell-powered commercial vehicles across North America, Europe, China, and Australasia. In addition, it builds and fosters a clean hydrogen supply ecosystem with partners from feedstocks through production, dispensing and financing. The company intends to meet its customers' zero-emission vehicle needs by electrifying proven vehicle platforms utilizing its industry- leading fuel cell and electric propulsion technologies. It expects to deploy these technologies in various vehicle classes, including heavy-duty and medium-duty trucks and buses with the potential for future expansion into light-duty commercial vehicles, additional mobility use cases and stationary power applications.

Executives

Horizon Fuel Cell Technologies Pte Ltd	10 percent owner	KAIXUAM RD 1671 RM 705, SHANGHAL CHINA 200030 F4 00000
Stephen Weiland	officer: Chief Financial Officer	599 S SCHMIDT RD, BOLINGBROOK IL 60440
Matthew J. Foulston	director	9900 WEST 109TH STREET, SUITE 100, OVERLAND PARK KS 66210
Andrea Farace	director	NORTH LODGE, WOOLLEY, WANTAGE X0 OX12 8NJ
Jinxiu Sun-lasovage	officer: Chief Human Resources Officer	648 VINEWOOD AVE, BIRMINGHAM MI 48009
Bappaditya Banerjee	officer: Chief Operating Officer	439 S. MONROE ST., HINSDALE IL 60521
John Milton Edgley	officer: President of International Ops	69 RYANS RD, ELTHAM C3 3095
Samuel S Chong	officer: Chief Financial Officer	475 QUAKER MEETING HOUSE RD., HONEOYE FALLS NY 14472
Craig Matthew Knight	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	475 QUAKER MEETING HOUSE ROAD, HONEOYE FALLS NY 14472
Patrick Michael Griffin	officer: See Remarks	2415 WOODLAWN DR. NW, DOVER OH 44622
Decarbonization Plus Acquisition Corp	officer: See Remarks	475 QUAKER MEETING HOUSE RD, HONEOYE FALLS NY 14472
Parker Stewart Meeks	officer: Chief Strategy Officer	599 S SCHMIDT RD, BOLINGBROOK IL 60440
Shinichi Hirano	officer: Chief Technology Officer	5878 SHILLINGHAM DRIVE, WEST BLOOMFIELD MI 48322
John R Zavoli	officer: See Remarks	6215 FERRIS SQ, STE 140, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Jiajia Wu	officer: Chief Accounting Officer	599 S SCHMIDT RD, BOLINGBROOK IL 60440