Hanover Bancorp (Hanover Bancorp) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2022. Start your Free Trial

What is Hanover Bancorp Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Hanover Bancorp Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Hanover Bancorp Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Hanover Bancorp's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Hanover Bancorp (Hanover Bancorp) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Banks » Hanover Bancorp Inc (NAS:HNVR) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

80 East Jericho Turnpike, Mineola, NY, USA, 11501

Website

https://www.hanoverbank.com

Hanover Bancorp Inc is a United States-based banking company. It offers a full range of financial services and employs a complete suite of consumer and commercial banking products and services, including multi-family and commercial mortgages, residential loans, business loans, and lines of credit.

Executives

Philip A Okun	director	C/O HANOVER BANCORP, INC., 80 EAST JERICHO TURNPIKE, MINEOLA NY 11501
Elena Sisti	director	C/O HANOVER BANCORP, INC., 80 EAST JERICHO TURNPIKE, MINEOLA NY 11501
John P Vivona	officer: FSVP & Chief Risk Officer	C/O HANOVER BANCORP, INC., 80 E JERICHO TURNPIKE, MINEOLA NY 11501
Katz Michael David M.d.	director	C/O HANOVER BANCORP, INC., 80 EAST JERICHO TURNPIKE, MINEOLA NY 11501
Alice T Rouse	officer: EVP & Chief Risk Officer	C/O HANOVER BANCORP, INC., 80 EAST JERICHO TURNPIKE, MINEOLA NY 11501
Kevin Corbett	officer: EVP & Chief Credit Officer	C/O HANOVER BANCORP, INC., 80 EAST JERICHO TURNPIKE, MINEOLA NY 11501
Mcclelland W Wilcox	officer: SEVP, C.Lending & Revenue Off.	C/O HANOVER BANCORP, INC., 80 EAST JERICHO TURNPIKE, MINEOLA NY 11501
John R Sorrenti	director	C/O HANOVER BANCORP, INC., 80 EAST JERICHO TURNPIKE, MINEOLA NY 11501
Metin Negrin	director	C/O HANOVER BANCORP, INC., 80 EAST JERICHO TURNPIKE, MINEOLA NY 11501
Ahron H Haspel	director	220 EAST 65TH STREET, APT. 24G, NEW YORK NY 10065-6629
Lance P Burke	officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer	C/O HANOVER BANCORP, INC., 80 EAST JERICHO TURNPIKE, MINEOLA NY 11501
Lisa A Diiorio	officer: FSVP & Chief Accounting Off.	C/O HANOVER BANCORP, INC., 80 EAST JERICHO TURNPIKE, MINEOLA NY 11501
Varkey Abraham	director	C/O HANOVER BANCORP, INC., 80 EAST JERICHO TURNPIKE, MINEOLA NY 11501
Robert Golden	director	C/O GOLDEN PROPERTIES GROUP, LLC, 420 DOUGHTY BLVD., INWOOD NY 11096
Brian K Finneran	officer: President	C/O SUFFOLK BANCORP, 4 WEST SECOND STREET, P.O. BOX 9000, RIVERHEAD NY 11901