Granite Ridge Resources (Granite Ridge Resources) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2022. Start your Free Trial

What is Granite Ridge Resources Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Granite Ridge Resources Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Granite Ridge Resources Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Granite Ridge Resources's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Granite Ridge Resources (Granite Ridge Resources) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » Granite Ridge Resources Inc (NYSE:GRNT) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

Y60:Germany

Address

5217 McKinney Avenue, Suite 400, Dallas, TX, USA, 75205

Website

https://www.graniteridge.com

Granite Ridge Resources Inc is a scaled, non-operated oil and gas exploration and production company. It invests in a diversified portfolio of production and top-tier acreage across the Permian and other prolific US basins in partnership with proven operators.

Executives

Matthew Reade Miller	director	5217 MCKINNEY AVENUE, SUITE 400, DALLAS TX 75205
Griffin Perry	director	5217 MCKINNEY AVENUE, SUITE 400, DALLAS TX 75205
Thaddeus Darden	director	5217 MCKINNEY AVENUE, SUITE 400, DALLAS TX 75205
John Mccartney	director	US ROBOTICS INC, 8100 MCCORMICK BLVD, SKOKIE IL 60076
Tyler Farquharson	officer: Chief Financial Officer	12377 MERIT DRIVE, SUITE 1700, LB 82, DALLAS TX 75251
Kirk Lazarine	director	5217 MCKINNEY AVENUE, SUITE 400, DALLAS TX 75205
Grep Gp Iii, Llc	10 percent owner	5217 MCKINNEY AVENUE, SUITE 400, DALLAS TX 75205
Luke C Brandenberg	officer: President and CEO	5217 MCKINNEY AVENUE, SUITE 400, DALLAS TX 75205
Michele J Everard	director	5217 MCKINNEY AVENUE, SUITE 400, DALLAS TX 75205
Zoran Durkovic	officer: Chief Accounting Officer	5217 MCKINNEY AVENUE, SUITE 400, DALLAS TX 75205
Grep Gp Ii, Llc	10 percent owner	5217 MCKINNEY AVENUE, SUITE 400, DALLAS TX 75205
Amanda N. Coussens	director	C/O P10, INC., 4514 COLE AVENUE, SUITE 1600, DALLAS TX 75205
Grey Rock Energy Fund Ii-b, Lp	10 percent owner	2911 TURTLE CREEK BLVD, SUITE 1150, DALLAS TX 75219
Grey Rock Energy Partners Gp Ii, L.p.	10 percent owner	5217 MCKINNEY AVENUE, SUITE 400, DALLAS TX 75205
Grep Holdco Iii-b Holdings, Llc	10 percent owner	5217 MCKINNEY AVENUE, SUITE 400, DALLAS TX 75205