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Finnovate Acquisition (Finnovate Acquisition) Predictability Rank


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What is Finnovate Acquisition Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Finnovate Acquisition Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Finnovate Acquisition Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Finnovate Acquisition's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Finnovate Acquisition (Finnovate Acquisition) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Diversified Financial Services » Finnovate Acquisition Corp (NAS:FNVT) » Definitions » Predictability Rank
Comparable Companies
FTII DIST NCAC GAMC MARX HSPO TENK CFFE ATMV CNGL PBAJ SVMB SCRM CVII AAC GHIX ALCC AACT DWAC SAGA
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
20 Genesis Close, The White House, George Town, Grand Cayman, CYM, KY1 1208
Website
https://www.finnovateacquisition.com
Finnovate Acquisition Corp is a blank check company formed for the purpose of entering into a merger, share exchange, asset acquisition, share purchase, recapitalization, reorganization or other similar business combination with one or more businesses.
Executives
Chun Yi Hao director 2 BURLINGTON WOODS DRIVE, SUITE 100, BURLINGTON MA 01803
Sanjay Prasad director 25 MALL ROAD, SUITE 330, BURLINGTON MA 01803
Tiemei Sarah Li director THE WHITE HOUSE, 20 GENESIS CLOSE, GEORGE TOWN E9 KY1 1208
Meitav Investment House Ltd 10 percent owner 30 DEREKH SHESHET HA-YAMIM ST., BENE-BERAQ L3 5112302
Wang Chiu Wong director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Financial Officer THE WHITE HOUSE 20 GENESIS CLOSE, GEORGE TOWN, E9 KY1 1208
Calvin Kung director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer THE WHITE HOUSE 20 GENESIS CLOSE, GEORGE TOWN E9 KY1 1208
Sunorange Ltd. 10 percent owner C/O FINNOVATE ACQUISITION CORP., THE WHITE HOUSE 20 GENESIS CLOSE,, GEORGE TOWN E9 KY11208
Mitchell Alan Garber director ONE CAESARS PALACE DRIVE, LAS VEGAS NV 89109
Ron Avshalom Golan director, officer: Chief Financial Officer 6 FROGNAL CLOSE, LONDON X0 NW3 6YB
Gustavo Rodolfo Schwed director 34 WEST 17TH STREET, PH, NEW YORK NY 10011
David Gershon director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 9 MAURIZIO VITALE APT. 47, TEL AVIV L3 6965104
Nadav Zohar director C/O FINNOVATE ACQUISITION CORP.,, 94 YIGAL ALON ST., TEL AVIV L3 6789139
Jonathan Ophir officer: Chief Investment Officer C/O FINNOVATE ACQUISITION CORP.,, 94 YIGAL ALON ST., TEL AVIV L3 6789139
Finnovate Sponsor L.p. 10 percent owner C/O FINNOVATE ACQUISITION CORP.,, 94 YIGAL ALON ST., TEL AVIV L3 6789139
Finnovate Sponsor Llc 10 percent owner C/O FINNOVATE ACQUISITION CORP., 94 YIGAL ALON ST., TEL AVIV L3 6789139