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Quantum Energy (Quantum Energy) Predictability Rank


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What is Quantum Energy Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Quantum Energy Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Quantum Energy Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Quantum Energy (Quantum Energy) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Business Services » Quantum Energy Corp (OTCPK:FLCX) » Definitions » Predictability Rank
Comparable Companies
VCIG DFCO ARMC NORD LWLW GRNQ WSCO YJGJ AMMJ QPRC VRSK LSE:EXPN EFX BAH XSWX:SGSN XPAR:BVI TRU FCN XSWX:DKSH TSE:6532
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1282 A Cornwall Road, Oakville, ON, CAN, L6J 7W5
Website
https://www.flooidcx.com
FlooidCX Corp acts as an online complaint resolution platform for consumers and businesses. The company offers unified communications and collaboration in online CRM solutions - GripeVine and Resolution1. It offers a proprietary complaint-resolution platform for the facilitation and management of social customer service via centralized communication, rating, and review tools. The tools offered to reward reliable consumers and responsive businesses. Its platform includes the handling of ratings, reviews, complaint resolution statuses while offering data collection features such as scoring, polling, comments, voting, and credibility points.
Executives
Dennis M Danzik director, officer: CEO 14747 N. NORTHSIGHT BLVD, STE.111-218, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85260
Kifu Llc 10 percent owner 2505 ANTHEM VILLAGE DRIVE, SUITE E-334, HENDERSON NV 89052
William Westbrook director P.O. BOX 431, VERNON AZ 85940
Craig N Kitchen director 11201 N. TATUM BLVD.,, SUITE 110, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85028
Douglas Charles Bean 10 percent owner, other: shareholder 2728 CAROLINA BLUE AVE, HENDERSON NV 89052
Mark Vange director, officer: Chief Technical Officer 1282A CORNWALL ROAD, OAKVILLE A6 LGJ 7W5
Helen Bernardino director 1282A CORNWALL ROAD, OAKVILLE A6 L6J 7W5
Richard Hue 10 percent owner 1282A CORNWALL ROAD, OAKVILLE Z4 L6J 7W5