DarioHealth (DarioHealth) Predictability Rank

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What is DarioHealth Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

DarioHealth Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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DarioHealth (DarioHealth) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Healthcare Providers & Services » DarioHealth Corp (NAS:DRIO) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

18 W. 18th Street, New York, NY, USA, 10011

Website

https://www.mydario.com

DarioHealth Corp is a digital health company. It offers user-centric a multi-chronic condition digital therapeutics platform that delivers personalized and dynamic interventions driven by data analytics and one-on-one coaching for diabetes, hypertension, weight management, musculoskeletal pain, and behavioral health. DarioHealth serves customers globally.

Executives

Jon H. Kaplan	director	1573 MALLORY LANE, SUITE 100, BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Erez Raphael	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	9 HALAMISH STREET, CAESAREA INDUSTRIAL PARK, CAESAREA L3 38900
Dennis M Mcgrath	director	C/O PAVMED INC., ONE GRAND CENTRAL PLACE, STE. 4600, NEW YORK NY 10165
Dror Bacher	officer: Chief Operating Officer	9 HALAMISH STREET, CAESAREA INDUSTRIAL PARK L3 3088900
Oded Cohen	officer: GM MSK	8 HATOKHEN ST., CAESAREA INDUSTRIAL PARK L3 3088900
Adam K Stern	director	STERN AEGIS VENTURES, 810 7TH AVENUE 22ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Dennis Matheis	director	8 HATOKHEN ST., CAESAREA L3 38900
Yoav Shaked	director	8 HATOKHEN ST., CAESAREA L3 3088900
Yadin Shemmer	director	8 HATOKHEN ST., CAESAREA L3 3088900
Richard Allan Anderson	officer: President, GM of North America	C/O DARIOHEALTH CORP., 18 W. 18TH ST, 5TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10011
Yalon Farhi	director	C/O LABSTYLE INNOVATIONS CORP., 9 HALAMISH ST., CAESAREA INDUSTRIAL PARK, CAESAREA L3 3088900
Hila Karah	director	9 HALAMISH STREET, CAESAREA INDUSTRIAL PARK, CAESAREA L3 38900
Zvi Ben-david	officer: Chief Financial Officer	9 HALAMISH STREET, CAESAREA INDUSTRIAL PARK, CAESAREA L3 38900
Glen Moller	director	8 HATOKHEN ST., CAESAREA L3 3088900
Olivier Roger Jarry	officer: See Remarks	15 ROCKRIDGE RD, LARCHMONT NY 10538-3918