Dalrada Financial (Dalrada Financial) Predictability Rank

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What is Dalrada Financial Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Dalrada Financial Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Dalrada Financial (Dalrada Financial) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Business Services » Dalrada Financial Corp (OTCPK:DFCO) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

600 La Terraza Boulevard, Escondido, CA, USA, 92025

Website

https://www.dalrada.com

Dalrada Financial Corp is a United States-based company engaged in providing financial, insurance, benefit, and business process outsourcing products and services to companies. Its products include tax strategy solutions, a health plan, payroll advance, and debit card. It manages five primary segments which are follows :- Genefic, Dalrada Energy, Dalrada Precision Manufacturing, Dalrada Technologies and Dalrada Corporate. The company generates majority of its revenue from Genefic segment.

Executives

Brian Bonar	director, officer: CEO	17075 VIA DEL CAMPO, SAN DIEGO CA 92127
Brian Christopher Mcgoff	director, officer: Chief Operating Officer	600 LA TERRAZA BLVD., ESCONDIDO CA 92025
Anuradha Biswas	director	600 LA TERRAZA BLVD., ESCONDIDO CA 92025
Vincent James Monteparte	director	C/O DALRADA FINANCIAL CORP., 600 LA TERRAZA BLVD., ESCONDIDO CA 92025
Amy Wing Scannell	director	C/O DALRADA FINANCIAL CORPORATION, 600 LA TERRAZA BLVD., ESCONDIDO CA 92025
Fawad Nisar	director, officer: COO	424 PENELOPE DR., SAN MAROS CA 92069
Bijan R Kian	director	C/O DALRADA FINANCIAL CORP, 600 LA TERRAZA BLVD, ESCONDIDO CA 92025
Jose L. Arrieta	director	3600 SOUTH GLEBE RD., UNITE 421, ARLINGTON VA 22202
Kyle Temple Mccollum	director, officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O DALRADA FINANCIAL CORP, 600 LA TERRAZA BLVD., ESCONDIDO CA 92025
David J Bacon	director	C/O DALRADA FINANCIAL CORP., 600 LA TERRAZA BLVD., ESCONDIDO CA 92025
Anthony J Zolezzi	director	C/O HORIZON ORGANIC, 6311 HORIZON LN, LONGMONT CO 80503
Thomas Giles	director	945 BUNKER HILL ROAD, SUITE 500, HOUSTON TX 77024
Guy Brian Kendrick	director	19531 CAMPUS DRIVE, SUITE 12, SANTA ANA CA 92707
Harvey Nathan Hershkowitz	director	18971 CAMINITO CARTLANA, LOT #4, SAN DIEGO CA 92128
Pauline Gourdie	director	15562 RISING RIVER PL S, SAN DIEGO CA 92127