BioRestorative Therapies (BioRestorative Therapies) Predictability Rank

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What is BioRestorative Therapies Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

BioRestorative Therapies Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

BioRestorative Therapies Predictability Rank Related Terms

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BioRestorative Therapies (BioRestorative Therapies) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » BioRestorative Therapies Inc (NAS:BRTX) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

9OF:Germany

Address

40 Marcus Drive, Suite One, Melville, NY, USA, 11747

Website

https://www.biorestorative.com

BioRestorative Therapies Inc is a biotechnology company based in the United States. It focuses on the development of regenerative medicine products and therapies using cell and tissue protocols, primarily involving adult (non-embryonic) stem cells. The company's two core development programs include the Disc/Spine Program, which involves cell therapy candidate, BRTX-100, a product formulated from autologous cultured mesenchymal stem cells collected from the patient's bone marrow; and Metabolic Program, which includes the development of cell-based therapy to target obesity and metabolic disorders using brown adipose-derived stem cells, to generate brown adipose tissue.

Executives

Dale Broadrick	10 percent owner	3003 BRICK CHURCH PIKE, NASHVILLE TN 37207
Lance Alstodt	director, 10 percent owner, officer: President, CEO, COB	BIORESTORATIVE THERAPIES, INC., 40 MARCUS DRIVE, SUITE 1, MELVILLE NY 11747
Francisco Silva	director, 10 percent owner, officer: VP of Research and Development	STEM CELL ASSURANCE, INC., 555 HERITAGE DRIVE, JUPITER FL 33458
Robert Eugene Kristal	officer: Chief Financial Officer	4719 COLE AVENUE, DALLAS TX 75205
Patrick F. Williams	director	C/O ZELTIQ AESTHETICS INC., 4698 WILLOW ROAD, SUITE 100, PLEASANTON CA 94588
David A Rosa	director	10901 RED CIRCLE DRIVE, SUITE 150, MINNETONKA MN 55343
Nickolay V. Kukekov	director	4524 WESTWAY AVE, DALLAS TX 75205
Mark Weinreb	director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO and Chairman of the Board	STEM CELL ASSURANCE, INC., 555 HERITAGE DRIVE, JUPITER FL 33458
Paul Jude Tonna	director	69 CHICHESTER ROAD, HUNTINGTON NY 11743
A. Jeffrey Radov	director	8 WALWORTH AVENUE, SCARSDALE NY 10583
Robert Paccasassi	officer: VP, Quality and Compliance	C/O BIORESTORATIVE THERAPIES, INC., 40 MARCUS DRIVE, SUITE 1, MELVILLE NY 11747
Robert B Catell	director	62 OSBORNE ROAD, GARDEN CITY NY 11530
Adam D. Bergstein	officer: SVP, Planning and Business Dev	167 HAZEL AVENUE, GLENCOE IL 60022
John M Desmarais	director	230 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10169
Westbury Trust	10 percent owner	VICTORIA HALL, 11 VICTORIA STREET, P.O. BOX HM 1065, HAMILTON D0 00000