Azenta (Azenta) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 1995. Start your Free Trial

What is Azenta Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Azenta Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Azenta Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Azenta's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Azenta (Azenta) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Medical Devices & Instruments » Azenta Inc (NAS:AZTA) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

BA3:Germany

Address

200 Summit Drive, 6th Floor, Burlington, MA, USA, 01803

Website

https://www.azenta.com

Azenta Inc is a provider of life sciences solutions, enabling impactful breakthroughs and therapies to market faster. It provides a full suite of reliable cold-chain sample management solutions and genomic services across areas such as drug development, clinical research and advanced cell therapies for the industry's top pharmaceutical, biotech, academic and healthcare institutions globally. The company has two reportable segments that are Life Sciences Products and Life Sciences Services. It generates a substantial part of its revenue from its Life Sciences Services segment.

Executives

Herman Cueto	officer: EVP, Chief Financial Officer	C/O AZENTA, INC., 200 SUMMIT DRIVE, 6TH FLOOR, BURLINGTON MA 01803
Violetta Hughes	officer: VP, Chief Accounting Officer	C/O AZENTA, INC., 200 SUMMIT DRIVE, 6TH FLOOR, BURLINGTON MA 01803
David C Gray	officer: Chief Strategy & New Business	C/O GT SOLAR INTERNATIONAL, INC., 243 DANIEL WEBSTER HIGHWAY, MERRIMACK NH 03054
Joseph R Martin	director
Dorothy E Puhy	director	DANA FARBER CANCER INSTITUTE, 44 BINNEY STREET, RM. D1632, BOSTON MA 02115
Tina Susan Nova	director	C/O ARENA PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 6166 NANCY RIDGE DRIVE, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Mitchell Coyne	officer: SVP and GM, Life Sciences Proj	15 ELIZABETH DRIVE, CHELMSFORD MA 01824
Ginger Zhou	officer: SVP and General Manager, Genom	15 ELIZABETH DRIVE, CHELMSFORD MA 01824
Matthew Mcmanus	officer: EVP & Chief Operating Officer	15 ELIZABETH DRIVE, CHELMSFORD MA 01824
Lindon G Robertson	officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer	C/O GRAFTECH INTERNATIONAL LTD., 12900 SNOW ROAD, PARMA OH 44130
Kimberly Crowley	officer: Chief Human Resources Officer	15 ELIZABETH DRIVE, CHELMSFORD MA 01824
Vandana Sriram	officer: VP, Finance & Corp. Controller	15 ELIZABETH DRIVE, CHELMSFORD MA 01824
Jesus Linda De	officer: Chief Commercial Officer, LS	15 ELIZABETH DRIVE, CHEMSFORD MA 01824
David Jarzynka	officer: Sr. VP, General Manager	15 ELIZABETH DRIVE, CHELMSFORD MA 01824
Robin Vacha	officer: SVP, GM BLS-Products	15 ELIZABETH DRIVE, 15 ELIZABETH DRIVE, CHELMSFORD MA 01824