180 Life Sciences (180 Life Sciences) Predictability Rank

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What is 180 Life Sciences Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

180 Life Sciences Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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180 Life Sciences (180 Life Sciences) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » 180 Life Sciences Corp (NAS:ATNF) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

3000 El Camino Real, Bldg. 4, Suite 200, Palo Alto, CA, USA, 94306

Website

https://www.180lifesciences.com

180 Life Sciences Corp is a clinical-stage biotechnology company. It is focused on the development of novel drugs that fulfill unmet needs in inflammatory diseases, fibrosis and pain by leveraging the combined expertise of luminaries in therapeutics.

Executives

James N. Woody	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O ONCOMED PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 800 CHESAPEAKE DRIVE, REDWOOD CITY CA 94063
Marc Feldmann	director	5 DURHAM TERRACE, LONDON X0 W25PB
Lawrence Steinman	director	10555 SCIENCE CENTER DRIVE, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Mcgovern Jr. Donald A.	director	C/O CARS.COM, 300 S. RIVERSIDE PLAZA, SUITE 1000, CHICAGO IL 60606
Quan Anh Vu	officer: COO / Chief Business Officer	22616 ERWIN STREET, WOODLAND HILLS CA 91367
Ozan Pamir	officer: Interim CFO	2443 FILLMORE ST #380-17649, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94115
Pamela G Marrone	director	C/O MARRONE BIO INNOVATIONS, INC., 2121 SECOND STREET, A-107, DAVIS CA 95618
Teresa Deluca	director	40 BURTON HILLS BOULEVARD, SUITE 500, NASHVILLE TN 37215
Russell T Ray	director	2525 DUPONT DR, IRVINE CA 92612
Knuettel Ii Francis	director	205 NEWBURY ST, SUITE 204, FRAMINGHAM MA 01701
Marlene Krauss	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O KBL HEALTHCARE INC, 645 MADISON AVE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Lawrence Marshall Gold	director	830 MENLO AVENUE, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Jonathan B. Rothbard	officer: Chief Scientific Officer	501 BEALE STREET, UNIT 8D, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Shoshana Shendelman	director	C/O APPLIED THERAPEUTICS, INC., 340 MADISON AVENUE, 19TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10173
Richard W Barker	director	290 COMMONWEALTH AVENUE #17, BOSTON MA 02115